(H)

Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLTON TOWN FC LUTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Mason Butcher 12 2 14 Gk Hayden Barnes 15 0 15 Df Jeff Charlton 14 2 16 Sw Jamie Johnson 16 2 18 Df Marcelo Fernandez 10 0 10 Df Sebastian Shrimpton 13 2 15 Df Chris Howard 9 2 11 Df Robin Ostrander 13 2 15 Mf Federico Gentile 14 2 16 Df Philipp Koch 9 -2 7 Mf Gast?n Franco 13 2 15 Mf Victor Shepard 14 1 15 Mf Giles Walsh 14 2 16 Mf Jonathan Heddle 14 1 15 Mf Liam Dixon 9 2 11 Mf David Perry 10 2 12 Fw Rhys McColl 15 2 17 Fw Nathan Phillips 15 2 17 Fw Santiago Rubio 14 2 16 Fw Facundo Bruno 17 2 19 Fw Alfred Forsberg 10 2 12 Fw Jamie Carroll 14 1 15 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 0 37 58 45 ROSTER TOTALS 15 18 37 42 51 0 0 0 0 5 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 0 46 58 50 T O T A L S 15 18 37 42 51 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 5 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.93 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.7 (no red card) Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 50.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 74.44 (no red card) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 24.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 29.74 (no red card) Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 81.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 45.43 (no red card) Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 69.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 12.1 (no red card) Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 71.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 20.69 (no red card) Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 15.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 3.07 (no red card) Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 51.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 19.78 (no red card) Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 87.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 7.28 (no red card) Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 26.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 78.66 (no red card) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 57.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 63.77 (no red card) ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.46 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.43 (no red card) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.78 (no red card) Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.91 (no red card) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.31 (no red card) Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.43 (no red card) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.26 (no red card) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.13 (no red card) Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.36 (no red card) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.58 (no red card) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.45 (no red card) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.23 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 5 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.87% Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 11.48 (no injury) Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 44.73 (no injury) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 65.59 (no injury) Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 90.51 (no injury) Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 49.15 (no injury) Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 64.13 (no injury) Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.85 (no injury) Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.93 (no injury) Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 4.29 (no injury) Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 82.83 (no injury) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 39.72 (no injury) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 5 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25% - Gk chance of injury = 3.12% Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 70.28 (no injury) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 15.07 (no injury) Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 0.11 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Sebastian Shrimpton is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Sebastian Shrimpton new match skill level = 7 Sebastian Shrimpton new match total level = 9 Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 14.16 (no injury) Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 84.05 (no injury) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 83.5 (no injury) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 36.39 (no injury) Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 16.01 (no injury) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 88.29 (no injury) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 47.48 (no injury) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 79.38 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Rhys McColl SL 15 - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 15 intRndPk = 33 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 17 - Defending Gk: Mason Butcher SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 86 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlton Town FC 14 0 46 58 50 Luton Town FC 15 18 31 42 51 Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 19 (50 - 31); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((58 - 42) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 51) / 5; rounded up) Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 54.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 15 18 31 42 51 Carlton Town FC 14 0 46 58 50 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (51 - 46); result rounded up Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 58) / 2; rounded up) Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 50) / 3; rounded up) Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 0.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 81.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLTON TOWN FC 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 2
Match Notes

And C-Ball takes Div 3 with aplomb
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/28 - 1:23 PM