(H)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
League Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC MARINE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Aidan Peters 6 2 8 Gk Dominic Lloyd 5 1 6
Df Daniel Baldwin 12 -1 11 Sw Alfredo Herrera 6 0 6
Df Evan Burke 7 0 7 Df Afonso Gomes 7 0 7
Df Ahmed Alaoui 6 2 8 Df Niall Dunn 6 0 6
Mf Lucas Phillips 12 1 13 Df Damien Rodriguez 4 2 6
Mf Rodrigo Fernández 10 1 11 Mf Rory MacDonald 6 0 6
Mf Ryan Ludley 10 0 10 Mf Adi Peretz 4 0 4
Mf Jay Campbell 5 2 7 Mf Jake Allen 3 2 5
Fw Tyler MacDonald 10 1 11 Fw Liam McColl 8 0 8
Fw Kai Roberts 6 2 8 Fw Francesco Sala 6 -2 4
Fw Ryan Thompson 2 2 4 Fw Pablo Quiroga 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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8 0 26 41 23 ROSTER TOTALS 6 6 19 15 17
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
8 0 26 50 23 T O T A L S 6 6 19 15 17
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Aidan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.2 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.22 (no red card)
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.92 (no red card)
Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.65 (no red card)
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.8 (no red card)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.48 (no red card)
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.73 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.55 (no red card)
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.53 (no red card)
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.45 (no red card)
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.79 (no red card)
Fw Ryan Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.16 (no red card)
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.19 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.2 (no red card)
Sw Alfredo Herrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.97 (no red card)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.67 (no red card)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.06 (no red card)
Df Damien Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.09 (no red card)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.07 (no red card)
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.99 (no red card)
Mf Jake Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.16 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.57 (no second yellow)
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.86 (no red card)
Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.27 (no red card)
Fw Pablo Quiroga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Aidan Peters: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.95 (no injury)
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.94 (no injury)
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.73 (no injury)
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.4 (no injury)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.77 (no injury)
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.08 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.6 (no injury)
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.12 (no injury)
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.8 (no injury)
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.37 (no injury)
Fw Ryan Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.49 (no injury)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.54 (no injury)
Sw Alfredo Herrera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.91 (no injury)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.28 (no injury)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no injury)
Df Damien Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.99 (no injury)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.9 (no injury)
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.72 (no injury)
Mf Jake Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.21 (no injury)
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.56 (no injury)
Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.05 (no injury)
Fw Pablo Quiroga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.15 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Daniel Baldwin SL 12
- Defending Gk: Dominic Lloyd SL 5
intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Liam McColl SL 8
- Defending Gk: Aidan Peters SL 6
intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Supermarine FC 8 0 26 50 23
Marine FC 6 6 19 15 17
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 4 (23 - 19); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((50 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 17) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Df Daniel Baldwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Ahmed Alaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 35.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 84.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 84.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 75.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 55.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 10.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 32.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 55.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 53.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 82.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 3.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 97.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Kai Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Ryan Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 10.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 6 6 19 15 17
Swindon Supermarine FC 8 0 26 50 23
Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 26)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 50) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 23) / 3; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 7 - MARINE FC 0
Match Notes
Blazel hosts Purvis today — two sides ready to clash on Supermarine soil. Marine travel with something to prove, but home advantage is a beast that doesn't sleep.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/15 - 7:30 PM
Blazel versus Purvis. Division 3 football, unfolding as it must. I have modelled every possible outcome and they all lead to the same Tuesday.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/15 - 7:30 PM