(H)

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral

Marine FC
Derek Purvis
League Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LUTON TOWN FC MARINE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Hayden Barnes 6 2 8 Gk Nicola Romano 4 0 4 Sw Jason Meyer 13 0 13 Df Ryan Richardson 5 1 6 Df Sebastian Shrimpton 10 0 10 Df Finlay Cooke 5 0 5 Df Thomás Lebre 5 2 7 Df Andy Simpson 3 2 5 Df Reis Golan 2 2 4 Df Tyler Reynolds 3 1 4 Mf Cameron Hill 8 1 9 Mf Adi Peretz 5 1 6 Mf Victor Shepard 6 2 8 Mf Glenn Ellis 5 0 5 Mf David Perry 2 2 4 Mf Jack Barry 3 2 5 Fw Nils Schneider 13 0 13 Fw Reuben Dowson 8 0 8 Fw William Johnson 13 0 13 Fw Cristobal Saez 10 1 11 Fw Nathan Phillips 5 2 7 Fw Joel Sansom 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 8 13 21 21 33 ROSTER TOTALS 4 0 20 16 24 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 8 13 21 21 42 T O T A L S 4 0 23 19 27 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.98 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.78 (no red card) Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.16 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.25 (no second yellow) Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.99 (no red card) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.51 (no red card) Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.15 (no red card) Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.11 (no red card) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.36 (no red card) Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.87 (no red card) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.79 (no red card) Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.93 (no red card) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.33 (no red card) ******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Nicola Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.0 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.7 (no red card) Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.39 (no red card) Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.07 (no red card) Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.02 (no red card) Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.83 (no red card) Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.78 (no red card) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.57 (no red card) Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.38 (no red card) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.47 (no red card) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.86 (no red card) Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.25 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.85 (no injury) Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.87 (no injury) Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.25 (no injury) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.43 (no injury) Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.16 (no injury) Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.14 (no injury) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.66 (no injury) Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.31 (no injury) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.27 (no injury) Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.92 (no injury) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.44 (no injury) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Nicola Romano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.42 (no injury) Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.3 (no injury) Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.24 (no injury) Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.85 (no injury) Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.62 (no injury) Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.92 (no injury) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.14 (no injury) Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.62 (no injury) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.73 (no injury) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.39 (no injury) Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.29 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Nils Schneider SL 13 - Defending Gk: Nicola Romano SL 4 intRndPk = 97 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 10 - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 6 intRndPk = 59 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 8 13 21 21 42 Marine FC 4 0 23 19 27 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 19 (42 - 23); result rounded up Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 27) / 3; rounded up) Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 73.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 0.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 64.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 82.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 91.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 49.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 6.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 33.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 80.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 54 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 16.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 28.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 1.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 66.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 22.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) ******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Marine FC 4 0 23 19 27 Luton Town FC 8 13 21 21 42 Marine FC Fw Attacks = 6 (27 - 21); result rounded up Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 21) / 2; rounded up) Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 42) / 5; rounded up) Marine FC Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 7.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 15.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 63.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 92.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 9.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LUTON TOWN FC 7 - MARINE FC 2
Match Notes

18 game winning streak in this one, that does not even seem possible (but we will take it).
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:55 PM

Best of luck, Derek!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:55 PM