Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:39:51 PM (gmt)
 
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Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHASETOWN FC                               BEDFORD TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Daniel Bell             6    2    8     Gk Jake Flynn             13    2   15
Sw David Gardner           9    0    9     Sw Ian Moore              11    2   13
Df Jake Whyte             13    0   13     Df Francisco Vera         12    0   12
Df Arthur East             6    2    8     Df Youssef Alami          12    0   12
Df Lewis Allan             2    2    4     Df Max Hermansson          5    2    7
Mf Leor Chadad            11    0   11     Fw Harvey Allen           15    0   15
Mf Alf Jenssen            10    1   11     Mf Jeff Shilton           11    0   11
Mf Diego Ribeiro           8    0    8     Mf Christian Kilkenny      5    2    7
Mf Luciano Renteria        2    2    4     Fw Corey Page             12    0   12
Fw Charlie Sullivan       12    0   12     Fw Gonzalo Soler          12    0   12
Fw Scott Shaw              9    0    9     Fw Alexander Stewart      10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  9 25 34 21        ROSTER TOTALS      15 13 31 18 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  9 25 34 21         T O T A L S       15 13 31 18 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.3 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.11 (no red card)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.98 (no red card)

Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.35 (no red card)

Df Lewis Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.18 (no red card)

Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.39 (no red card)

Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.38 (no red card)

Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.11 (no red card)

Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.8 (no red card)

Fw Charlie Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.49 (no red card)

Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.25 (no red card)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.49 (no red card)

Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.73 (no red card)

Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.66 (no red card)

Df Youssef Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.05 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.76 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.99 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.25 (no red card)

Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.45 (no red card)

Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.8 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.4 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.72 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.45 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.65 (no injury) 
Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.77 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.61 (no injury) 
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.67 (no injury) 
Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.51 (no injury) 
Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.77 (no injury) 
Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.72 (no injury) 
Fw Charlie Sullivan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.87 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.5 (no injury) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.0 (no injury) 
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.25 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury) 
Df Youssef Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Youssef Alami is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.39 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.82 (no injury) 
Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.17 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.78 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.99 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.96 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jake Whyte SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 13

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Daniel Bell SL 6

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 68 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             8   9  25  34  21
  Bedford Town FC          15  13  31  18  51

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 31)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((34 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 15.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          15  13  31  18  51
  Chasetown FC             8   9  25  34  21

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 26 (51 - 25); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 66.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Youssef Alami
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 80.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 49.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 51.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 26.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 33.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 73.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 81.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 55 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHASETOWN FC 0  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 5
 
Match Notes
Bedford thru in a win. Chasetown thru in a win if they better Boston's win. Bedford thru in a draw if Boston doesn't win by three or more goals.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/25 - 10:46 PM
Never give up, they say....
Paul (Chasetown FC) 05/30 - 2:18 PM
...but I gave up anyway
Paul (Chasetown FC) 06/06 - 10:16 AM
 
 
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