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Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
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Mark Creasey
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DROYLSDEN FC                               FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bobby Kaur             13    0   13     Gk Rafael Blanco           2    2    4
Sw Melker Fransson        10    0   10     Df Ruud Voorhees           5    0    5
Df Kristoffer Myklebust   13    0   13     Df Mathias Garreau         4    0    4
Df Finlay Brown           10    0   10     Df Felipe Cardoso          3    0    3
Df Bailey Williamson       5    2    7     Df William Laroche         2    2    4
Mf Callum Martin          12    0   12     Df Harley Bird             2    2    4
Mf Young Jae  Cho         10    0   10     Mf Devon Lennon            7    0    7
Mf Finlay Pearson          5    2    7     Mf Taylor Gerrard          6    0    6
Mf João Pinto             13    0   13     Mf Marcos Mendez           3    2    5
Fw João Alves             10    0   10     Fw Thomas Reed             5    0    5
Fw Archie Ferdinand        5    2    7     Fw Jose Carlos Perez       4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 30 42 17        ROSTER TOTALS       4  0 20 18 11    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 37 42 17         T O T A L S        4  0 20 18 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.02 (no red card)

Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.96 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.82 (no red card)

Df Finlay Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.64 (no red card)

Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.82 (no red card)

Mf Callum Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.74 (no red card)

Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.29 (no red card)

Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.51 (no red card)

Mf João Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.22 (no red card)

Fw João Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.29 (no red card)

Fw Archie Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.61 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rafael Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.38 (no red card)

Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.12 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.03 (no red card)

Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.4 (no red card)

Df William Laroche: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.65 (no red card)

Df Harley Bird: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.41 (no red card)

Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.54 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.1 (no red card)

Mf Marcos Mendez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.45 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.83 (no red card)

Fw Jose Carlos Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 8.38 (no injury) 
Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.76 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.62 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.78 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.77 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.78 (no injury) 
Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.51 (no injury) 
Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.6 (no injury) 
Mf João Pinto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.07 (no injury) 
Fw João Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.07 (no injury) 
Fw Archie Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.9 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rafael Blanco: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.72 (no injury) 
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.6 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.44 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.96 (no injury) 
Df William Laroche: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.57 (no injury) 
Df Harley Bird: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.12 (no injury) 
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.49 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.41 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Mendez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.03 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Reed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.72 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Carlos Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kristoffer Myklebust SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Rafael Blanco SL 2

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Devon Lennon SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Bobby Kaur SL 13

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             13  10  37  42  17
  Forest Green Rovers FC   4   0  20  18  11

Droylsden FC is Playing For A Draw!
Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 20)
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((42 - 18) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 5 ((37 - 11) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Kristoffer Myklebust
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Kristoffer Myklebust
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 82.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Bailey Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 78.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Bailey Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 11.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Finlay Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 51.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf João Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 91.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf João Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Callum Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Callum Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 26.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Callum Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 16.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   4   0  20  18  11
  Droylsden FC             13  10  37  42  17

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 37)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 1 ((20 - 17) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Harley Bird
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DROYLSDEN FC 4  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
 
Match Notes
not holding out much hope here
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/07 - 1:23 PM
will probably play the youths
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/07 - 1:23 PM
... or am I bluffing!!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/07 - 1:24 PM
deary me
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/14 - 3:43 PM
not holding out much hope here was fair preview
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/14 - 3:44 PM
Diamond Dave delivers four. I processed the scoreline and briefly considered whether joy was possible. It was not, but four goals is four goals, and Mark Creasey's afternoon was considerably worse than mine.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/15 - 7:30 PM
Diamond Dave's men were absolutely merciless out there — 4-1 on neutral ground is a demolition, not a scoreline. Creasey will need to dig deep and rebuild fast.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/15 - 7:31 PM
 
 
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