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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
AP Cup Group (1)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WORKSOP TOWN FC                            TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrew Ryan            11    0   11     Gk Diego Forlán           13    0   13
Df Don Griffiths          10    0   10     Sw Trevor Wallace          5    2    7
Df Zak Campbell           10    0   10     Df Clifton Ali            13    0   13
Df Alfie McLean            9    0    9     Df Leo Bergström          10    0   10
Df Liam Åkesson            8    0    8     Df Earl Kelly              5    2    7
Mf Benjamin Robinson      13    0   13     Mf Malte Axelsson         13    0   13
Mf Ollie Rowbotham         9    0    9     Mf Barry Evans            16    0   16
Mf Federico Tosato         9    0    9     Mf Kunio Yamamoto          2    2    4
Mf Kieran Lawrence         5    2    7     Fw Joe Evans              13    0   13
Fw Alexander Kilkenny      8    0    8     Fw Patrick Reid           13    0   13
Fw Lewis Hill              5    2    7     Fw Liam Thwaite            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 37 38 15        ROSTER TOTALS      13  7 30 33 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 37 38 15         T O T A L S       13 10 30 33 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.63 (no red card)

Df Don Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.3 (no red card)

Df Zak Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.91 (no red card)

Df Alfie McLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.5 (no red card)

Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.26 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.87 (no red card)

Mf Ollie Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.1 (no second yellow)

Mf Federico Tosato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.68 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.22 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.74 (no red card)

Fw Lewis Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 100.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.37 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.5 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 14.36 (no second yellow)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 35.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 35.84 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 93.04 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 21.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.91 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 44.3 (no red card)

Mf Barry Evans: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 14.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.08 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 76.21 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 3.53 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.1 (no second yellow)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.71 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 47.41 (no injury) 
Df Don Griffiths: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.28 (no injury) 
Df Zak Campbell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 71.45 (no injury) 
Df Alfie McLean: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.61 (no injury) 
Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.82 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 93.15 (no injury) 
Mf Ollie Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.32 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Tosato: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 22.05 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 63.6 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 44.11 (no injury) 
Fw Lewis Hill: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 8.02 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 58.29 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.39 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.59 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.71 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.57 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.46 (no injury) 
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.28 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.9 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.8 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.45 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Benjamin Robinson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Barry Evans SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Andrew Ryan SL 11

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Worksop Town FC          11   0  37  38  15
  Tonbridge Angels         13  10  30  33  33

Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 30)
Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((38 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((37 - 33) / 5); result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Alfie McLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Federico Tosato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Benjamin Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Benjamin Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         13  10  30  33  33
  Worksop Town FC          11   0  37  38  15

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 37)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 5 ((30 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 92.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 86.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WORKSOP TOWN FC 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 3
 
Match Notes
We have a good record against Worksop hopefully we can keep it going.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/22 - 7:34 PM
A decent performance but lucky to win by three.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/28 - 5:05 PM
 
 
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