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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIDGWATER TOWN                            LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Viggo Lindqvist         7    0    7     Gk Dylan Foster           11    0   11
Sw Lucas Moore             2    2    4     Sw Jason Meyer            13    0   13
Df Jamie Whiteside        15    0   15     Df Robin Ostrander        15    0   15
Df Cameron Ramsay          5    2    7     Df Sebastian Shrimpton    10    0   10
Df Josh Martin             5    2    7     Df Thomás Lebre            5    2    7
Mf Chuck Knox             13    0   13     Mf Jonathan Heddle        10    0   10
Mf Patrick Gallaher        5    2    7     Mf Victor Shepard          5    2    7
Mf Jakob Schmitz           2    2    4     Fw Nils Schneider         13    0   13
Fw Elvis Kristoffersen     5    2    7     Fw William Johnson        13    0   13
Fw Toby Hall               2    2    4     Fw Jamie Carroll          10    0   10
Fw Taylor Shilton          2    2    4     Fw Facundo Bruno          10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  4 29 24 15        ROSTER TOTALS      11 13 32 17 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  4 29 24 15         T O T A L S       11 13 32 17 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Viggo Lindqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.94 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.18 (no red card)

Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.08 (no red card)

Df Cameron Ramsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.92 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.94 (no red card)

Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.36 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.22 (no red card)

Fw Elvis Kristoffersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.18 (no red card)

Fw Toby Hall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.63 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.05 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.8 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.68 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.38 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.12 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.12 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.61 (no second yellow)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.16 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.84 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.41 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.51 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Viggo Lindqvist: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.67 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.23 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.85 (no injury) 
Df Cameron Ramsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.21 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.58 (no injury) 
Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.97 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.97 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.81 (no injury) 
Fw Elvis Kristoffersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.8 (no injury) 
Fw Toby Hall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.57 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.45 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.66 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.23 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.52 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.19 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.49 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.63 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.58 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.88 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.67 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.18 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Whiteside SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 11

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Viggo Lindqvist SL 7

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          7   4  29  24  15
  Luton Town FC            11  13  32  17  46

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 32)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 4 ((24 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Chuck Knox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Chuck Knox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Chuck Knox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Jakob Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            11  13  32  17  46
  Bridgwater Town          7   4  29  24  15

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 17 (46 - 29); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((32 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 45.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 91.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 1.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 52.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 73.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 5.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 32.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 91.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 94.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 0.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIDGWATER TOWN 0  -  LUTON TOWN FC 4
 
Match Notes
Martyn has had our number a bit, we have only won 1 of last 7 head to head!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 6:19 PM
Matched set of 4-0 wins in the AP, we will take it!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:45 PM
 
 
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