(N)

Worksop Town FC
David Morgan

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WORKSOP TOWN FC LUTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Måns Jonasson 2 2 4 Gk Dylan Foster 11 0 11 Df Don Edwards 11 1 12 Sw Jamie Johnson 10 0 10 Df Harley Watson 9 1 10 Df Robin Ostrander 16 0 16 Df Don Griffiths 5 0 5 Df Thomás Lebre 5 2 7 Df Gordon Jackson 2 2 4 Mf Harrison McBrayne 8 1 9 Mf Luis Gonzalez 10 1 11 Mf Victor Shepard 6 2 8 Mf Laurence Sansom 8 -1 7 Mf Nathan Dean 2 2 4 Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev 5 2 7 Fw Kerecsen Deák 11 1 12 Mf Benjamin Robinson 5 0 5 Fw Jamie Carroll 10 0 10 Fw Peder Laursen 8 1 9 Fw Facundo Bruno 10 0 10 Fw Leon Bailey 2 2 4 Fw Nathan Phillips 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 0 31 30 13 ROSTER TOTALS 11 10 23 21 39 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 4 0 31 30 13 T O T A L S 11 10 23 21 39 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Måns Jonasson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.86 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.9 (no red card) Df Don Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.33 (no red card) Df Harley Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.14 (no red card) Df Don Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.65 (no red card) Df Gordon Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.12 (no red card) Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.93 (no red card) Mf Laurence Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.82 (no red card) Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.36 (no red card) Mf Benjamin Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card) Fw Peder Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.55 (no red card) Fw Leon Bailey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.26 (no red card) ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.41 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.79 (no red card) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.82 (no red card) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.16 (no red card) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.46 (no red card) Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.53 (no red card) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.18 (no red card) Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.41 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.95 (no second yellow) Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.61 (no red card) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.85 (no red card) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.67 (no red card) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.84 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Måns Jonasson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 33.8 (no injury) Df Don Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.77 (no injury) Df Harley Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury) Df Don Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.28 (no injury) Df Gordon Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.84 (no injury) Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.57 (no injury) Mf Laurence Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.9 (no injury) Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.86 (no injury) Mf Benjamin Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.6 (no injury) Fw Peder Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.42 (no injury) Fw Leon Bailey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.32 (no injury) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.1 (no injury) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.54 (no injury) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.47 (no injury) Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.26 (no injury) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.45 (no injury) Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.13 (no injury) Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.15 (no injury) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.43 (no injury) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.3 (no injury) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.89 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Don Edwards SL 11 - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 11 intRndPk = 56 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick) ******* WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 16 - Defending Gk: Måns Jonasson SL 2 intRndPk = 77 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Worksop Town FC 4 0 31 30 13 Luton Town FC 11 10 23 21 39 Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 23) Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((30 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 39) / 5; rounded up) Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Mf Luis Gonzalez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Laurence Sansom Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Laurence Sansom Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Benjamin Robinson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 11 10 23 21 39 Worksop Town FC 4 0 31 30 13 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (39 - 31); result rounded up Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((23 - 13) / 3); result rounded up Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 12 1: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 99.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 66.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 16.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 58.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 26.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 39.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 32.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WORKSOP TOWN FC 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 3
Match Notes

Hoping for a clean sweep in the Group round, but Worksop may have something to say about that (3 straight defeats of LUT).
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:47 PM

Best of luck, David!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:56 PM

If we ignore the possibility of large margins, Luton are through and Worksop just need to better Bridgwater's result. If we don't, lots of permutations exist
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/05 - 6:43 AM