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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     CLEVEDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kevin Hawkins          14    1   15     Gk Thibaut Pouliquen      11    1   12
Sw Kai Laidlaw            11    0   11     Sw Niels Pedersen         14    0   14
Df Axel Lacour            13    0   13     Df Christopher Kerr       13    0   13
Df Gareth Trickelbank     11    0   11     Df Finn Kelly             12    0   12
Df Baron Jackson          10    0   10     Df Marcos Cunha            6    2    8
Mf Gabriel Welbeck        13    1   14     Df Hernan Gutierrez        6    2    8
Mf Henry Henry             6    2    8     Mf Callum McCarthy        10    1   11
Fw Fernando Cano          13    0   13     Mf Alessandro Mazza        6    2    8
Fw Sam East               15    0   15     Fw Max Black              14    0   14
Fw Elliot Bunyan          11    1   12     Fw Francis Richards       16    1   17
Fw Nick Baumann            5    2    7     Fw Tony Banks              9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 11 34 22 47        ROSTER TOTALS      12 14 41 19 40    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 11 34 22 47         T O T A L S       14 16 41 19 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 66.98 (no red card)

Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.34 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.26 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.49 (no red card)

Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.95 (no red card)

Mf Henry Henry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.85 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.88 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.45 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.68 (no red card)

Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.36 (no red card)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thibaut Pouliquen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.42 (no red card)

Sw Niels Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.22 (no red card)

Df Christopher Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.98 (no red card)

Df Finn Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.18 (no red card)

Df Marcos Cunha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.34 (no red card)

Df Hernan Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.64 (no red card)

Mf Callum McCarthy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.54 (no red card)

Mf Alessandro Mazza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.56 (no red card)

Fw Max Black: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.92 (no red card)

Fw Francis Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.97 (no red card)

Fw Tony Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 80.91 (no injury) 
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.53 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.01 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.1 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Gareth Trickelbank is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.83 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.57 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.22 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.27 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.14 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.44 (no injury) 
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.9 (no injury) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Thibaut Pouliquen: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 67.25 (no injury) 
Sw Niels Pedersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.37 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Kerr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.21 (no injury) 
Df Finn Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.45 (no injury) 
Df Marcos Cunha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.02 (no injury) 
Df Hernan Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.02 (no injury) 
Mf Callum McCarthy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.0 (no injury) 
Mf Alessandro Mazza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.21 (no injury) 
Fw Max Black: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.19 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Richards: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.08 (no injury) 
Fw Tony Banks: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sam East SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Thibaut Pouliquen SL 11

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francis Richards SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   16  11  34  22  47
  Clevedon Town FC         14  16  41  19  40

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 6 (47 - 41); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 2 ((22 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Henry Henry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 71.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 41.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         14  16  41  19  40
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   16  11  34  22  47

Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (40 - 34); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Tony Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Tony Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Tony Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Francis Richards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 7.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Max Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Max Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1  -  CLEVEDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Two warriors meeting on neutral ground, no walls to hide behind. Like a Slayer album, this one cuts both ways — respect to both sides, but only one walks out standing.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/12 - 7:30 PM
Winner advances, Clevedon in a draw.

Not sure I like the autogen comments
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/14 - 7:50 AM
Holden versus Kalmbach, a neutral ground, and the cup waiting indifferently for whoever wants it least badly. I have calculated seventeen thousand superior ways to spend this afternoon and chosen none of them.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/15 - 7:30 PM
Holden and Kalmbach both know how to build a side that fights — neutral ground strips away everything except raw quality and will. This one could go either way right to the final whistle.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/15 - 7:31 PM
Wow, we do not have a good recent record against AFC R&D.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 05/15 - 8:12 PM
One-nil to Holden's side. A single goal, sufficient to decide everything, as most things are decided — by the narrowest possible margin, in a universe that offers no guarantees of fairness.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/16 - 7:31 PM
Holden's men ground out a 1-0 on neutral turf — ugly maybe, but the three points don't care how pretty you look. Kalmbach will be hurting after back-to-back losses.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/16 - 7:31 PM
 
 
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