Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:54:24 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Denis Martin           13    0   13     Gk Robert Morgan          14    0   14
Df Diego Acosta           10    0   10     Df Luca Herrmann          17    0   17
Df Melvin Bergman          8    0    8     Sw Louie Ince              9    0    9
Df Finlay Butcher          5    2    7     Df Oscar Wood              4    2    6
Mf Cristobal Benitez      13    0   13     Fw Jonas Koch             12    0   12
Mf Glen Banks             10    0   10     Mf Bernd Lang             10    0   10
Mf Kian Sansom             5    2    7     Mf Thomas Williams        10    0   10
Mf Joel Richards           4    0    4     Fw Samuel Rose            13    0   13
Fw Ben Byrne              13    0   13     Fw Greg Scott             13    0   13
Fw Lawrence Clark         10    0   10     Fw Marcos Azevedo          5    2    7
Fw Harley Dowson           5    2    7     Fw Evan Gerrard            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 25 34 30        ROSTER TOTALS      14  9 23 20 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 25 34 30         T O T A L S       15  9 23 20 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.56 (no red card)

Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.91 (no red card)

Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.71 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.64 (no red card)

Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.01 (no second yellow)

Mf Glen Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.98 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.87 (no red card)

Mf Joel Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.9 (no red card)

Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.87 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.26 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.03 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 49.51 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.1 (no red card)

Sw Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.42 (no red card)

Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.33 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.79 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.07 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.42 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.5 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.82 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.99 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 10.72 (no injury) 
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.61 (no injury) 
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.78 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.53 (no injury) 
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.89 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Banks: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.47 (no injury) 
Mf Joel Richards: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.76 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.96 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.28 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.28 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 55.36 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.86 (no injury) 
Sw Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.75 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.84 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.37 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.06 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.07 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.11 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.97 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cristobal Benitez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 13

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  13   0  25  34  30
  Welling United FC        15   9  23  20  52

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 7 (30 - 23); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 7 ((34 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Glen Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 99.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Glen Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Glen Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 2.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 99.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 51.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 49.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        15   9  23  20  52
  FC United of Manchester  13   0  25  34  30

FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 14 (52 - 25) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 21.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 59.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 65.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 4  -  WELLING UNITED FC 2
 
Match Notes
A Welling-FCU doubleheader in the first session. That's fun (for some of us)!
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 05/24 - 12:20 AM
Wait, I'm sure I commented on this game already? Oh dear...
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/24 - 12:25 PM
I think I just burned all my luck in the opening weekend
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 05/27 - 4:29 PM
I do hope so
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/30 - 8:04 PM
 
 
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