Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:09:46 PM (gmt)
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matty Moore            14    0   14     Gk Robert Morgan          14    0   14
Sw Aarron Lowe            14    0   14     Sw Douglas Pereira        12    0   12
Df Alejandro García       13    0   13     Df Louie Ince             11    0   11
Df Louis Butler           12    0   12     Df Oscar Wood              4    2    6
Df Oscar Evans            10    0   10     Mf Bernd Lang             10    0   10
Mf Isao Mori              15    0   15     Mf Gaëtan Picard           4    2    6
Mf Manuel Iglesias        10    0   10     Fw Nils Pettersson        13    0   13
Mf Baron Fisher            5    2    7     Fw Lorenzo Santana        13    0   13
Fw Sheng Hé               13    0   13     Fw Arran Fergus           10    0   10
Fw Harry Pastor           10    0   10     Fw Marcos Azevedo          5    2    7
Fw Isaac Howells          10    0   10     Fw Evan Gerrard            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 35 32 33        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 17 16 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  1  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 17 39 32 33         T O T A L S       14 12 17 17 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.44 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.4 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.16 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.63 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.82 (no red card)

Mf Isao Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.66 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.98 (no second yellow)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.1 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.97 (no second yellow)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.62 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.87 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.92 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.8 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.24 (no red card)

Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.37 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.03 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.49 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.36 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.8 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.13 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.43 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.04 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.76 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.48 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.86 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.93 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.85 (no injury) 
Mf Isao Mori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.32 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.31 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.53 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.2 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.93 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.53 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.94 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.9 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.46 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.7 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.35 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.98 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.06 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.12 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.79 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.07 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.83 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Isao Mori SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 14

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nils Pettersson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 14

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            14  17  39  32  33
  Welling United FC        14  12  17  17  50

AFC Wimbledon is Playing For A Draw!
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 8 (33 - 17) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 4 ((32 - 17) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Baron Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        14  12  17  17  50
  AFC Wimbledon            14  17  39  32  33

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 11 (50 - 39); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  WELLING UNITED FC 0
 
Match Notes
Another random draw?
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/07 - 10:08 PM
#1, #3, #4, and #19 T11 in this group..........two teams will go home very early
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/16 - 12:50 PM
Correct DD...it was "totally" random...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/22 - 1:19 AM
#19 T11 here. We're expecting zero points from this group.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/24 - 12:27 PM
Can we get another miracle against the top dog?
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/24 - 12:53 PM
Already feels like every other season. Session 1, Dave prays for miracles. Session 10, Dave has won 3 trophies.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/24 - 12:55 PM
 
 
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