Session 4 orders deadline in 26 hours and 59 minutes
Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, June 13th, 2025 - 04:00:02 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KENDAL TOWN FC                             WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dominic Lloyd          14    1   15     Gk Carlton Lewis           2    2    4
Sw Robin Spoor            14    1   15     Df Oscar Wood              4    2    6
Df Gonzalo Sanz           14    1   15     Df Connor Aitken           3    2    5
Df Theo Rowe              10    0   10     Df Miguel López            2    2    4
Df Frank Vandermark        6    2    8     Df Napoleon Bataille       2    2    4
Mf Arsenio  Pérez         10    1   11     Mf Gaëtan Picard           4    2    6
Mf Albert Wise             6    2    8     Mf Carr Ellingsen          2    2    4
Fw Jermaine Rogers        13    0   13     Fw Marcos Azevedo          6    2    8
Fw Cong Li                16    1   17     Fw Evan Gerrard            6    2    8
Fw Giles Lindsay          10    1   11     Fw William Murphy          2    2    4
Fw Marcelo Guzman          6    2    8     Fw Lincoln Johnson         2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 33 19 49        ROSTER TOTALS       4  0 19 10 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  9    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 33 19 49         T O T A L S        4  0 19 11 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)

Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.11 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.49 (no red card)

Df Theo Rowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.58 (no red card)

Df Frank Vandermark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.06 (no red card)

Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.98 (no red card)

Mf Albert Wise: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.44 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.36 (no red card)

Fw Cong Li: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.68 (no red card)

Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.81 (no red card)

Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.88 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlton Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.81 (no red card)

Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 63.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 48.71 (no red card)

Df Connor Aitken: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 93.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 3.42 (no red card)

Df Miguel López: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 65.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 86.36 (no red card)

Df Napoleon Bataille: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 9.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 61.12 (no second yellow)

Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 80.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 41.84 (no red card)

Mf Carr Ellingsen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 14.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 97.83 (no second yellow)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 47.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 87.34 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 68.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 55.99 (no red card)

Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 60.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 15.15 (no red card)

Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 66.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 76.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 12.19 (no injury) 
Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 18.35 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 51.2 (no injury) 
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 62.5 (no injury) 
Df Frank Vandermark: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 12.14 (no injury) 
Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 73.59 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Wise: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 55.5 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 27.13 (no injury) 
Fw Cong Li: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 28.21 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 66.07 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 25.67 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 10
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Carlton Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.72 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 19.65 (no injury) 
Df Connor Aitken: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 74.4 (no injury) 
Df Miguel López: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 36.95 (no injury) 
Df Napoleon Bataille: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 68.91 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 75.18 (no injury) 
Mf Carr Ellingsen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 20.99 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 65.76 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 55.32 (no injury) 
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury) 
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 56.97 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Cong Li SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Carlton Lewis SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 42 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcos Azevedo SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Dominic Lloyd SL 14

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           15  15  33  19  49
  Welling United FC        4   0  19  11  33

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 15 (49 - 19) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((19 - 11) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Mf Albert Wise
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Albert Wise
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 10.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Albert Wise
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Arsenio  Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Albert Wise
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 28.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Albert Wise
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Arsenio  Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Arsenio  Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 2.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 88.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 54.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 31.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 62.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 14.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 57.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 81.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 55 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 11.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 76.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        4   0  19  11  33
  Kendal Town FC           15  15  33  19  49

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 33)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((11 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 49) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KENDAL TOWN FC 7  -  WELLING UNITED FC 0
 
Match Notes
Kendal thru in a win, or draw if FCUM lose. Welling thru in a win if FCUM lose, if they can make up two goals of goal difference if FCUM draw, or five goals if FCUM win.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/25 - 10:37 PM
so many convoluted permutations in this group of death
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 05/30 - 9:09 AM
Great to see these teams competing in an AP Cup Group stage!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/31 - 6:16 PM
In another AP Cup Group someone noted..."this is a fun group". No one has uttered those words about this group. 😎
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/01 - 12:51 AM
☠️☠️☠️
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/01 - 12:51 AM
I also considered not turning up for this match. Especially since our 22 man squad makes 4 game sessions so problematic
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 06/01 - 7:34 PM
I am very disappointed that this match showed no injuries
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/01 - 8:39 PM
Nice to see Wellington try
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/01 - 9:48 PM
 
 
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