Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:05:14 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matty Moore            15    1   16     Gk Denis Martin           14    1   15
Df Alejandro García       13    1   14     Df Steven Gascoigne       13    0   13
Df Oscar Evans            10    0   10     Df Melvin Bergman          8    0    8
Df Ryan Barber             5    2    7     Df Bailey Dowson           5    1    6
Mf Isao Mori              15    1   16     Mf Simon Fischer          17    0   17
Mf Manuel Iglesias        10    0   10     Mf Sam Clark               8    1    9
Mf Baron Fisher            5    2    7     Mf Kian Sansom             6    2    8
Mf Nigel Howells           5    2    7     Mf Owen MacLean            5    2    7
Fw Sheng Hé               13    1   14     Mf Mason Whiteside         5    1    6
Fw Harry Pastor           10    1   11     Fw Baron Marshall         13    1   14
Fw Ben Butcher             5    2    7     Fw Lawrence Clark         10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 31 40 32        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 27 47 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 31 40 32         T O T A L S       15  0 27 47 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.71 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.73 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Alejandro García new match skill level =  7
      Alejandro García new match total level =  8

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.08 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.95 (no red card)

Mf Isao Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.32 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.81 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.29 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.44 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.05 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.16 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.67 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.98 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.94 (no red card)

Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.2 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.77 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.8 (no red card)

Mf Sam Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.29 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.8 (no red card)

Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.51 (no red card)

Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.26 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.13 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.62 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.18 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.41 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.08 (no injury) 
Mf Isao Mori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.75 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.62 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.46 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.59 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.32 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.75 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.26 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.51 (no injury) 
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.27 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.71 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.02 (no injury) 
Mf Sam Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.65 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.68 (no injury) 
Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.56 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.34 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.45 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.06 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Isao Mori SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 14

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 15

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            16   0  25  40  32
  FC United of Manchester  15   0  27  47  24

FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 3 (32 - 27) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Oscar Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  15   0  27  47  24
  AFC Wimbledon            16   0  25  40  32

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 25)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 7 ((47 - 40) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 32) / 5;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 96.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Sam Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 76.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Sam Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 3
 
Match Notes
Definitely the group of death without a doubt
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/07 - 10:09 PM
Dons thru with a win or draw, or loss with a Kendal draw or small Welling victory. FCUM thru in a win or a draw if Kendal also draw.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/25 - 10:36 PM
Relying on Ian to help us out, or lose when we need him to, has never worked out well for us
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 05/27 - 4:32 PM
then again, neither has beating Dave when we need to, as that hasn’t happened since season 32
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 05/27 - 4:33 PM
Not feeling good here against Kmart
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/31 - 2:29 PM
Both managers may need help from Ian. That must be a comfortable feeling...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/31 - 6:17 PM
Kevin out OSTs Dave, to take 2nd place in the group. Congratulations Kevin!
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 06/01 - 7:51 PM
Rough day at the office for Matty Moore...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/01 - 8:09 PM
Congrats Kevin….we had no chance in the group of death
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/01 - 9:47 PM
The Div 3 minnow survives in the shark pool!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/02 - 6:02 PM
Fortunate to get the break with a straight red to one of Dave’s top players
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/02 - 6:03 PM
 
 
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