(N)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
Goole AFC
Olmec Head Marvin
AP Cup Group (1)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC GOOLE AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Robert Morgan 13 0 13 Gk Brian Washington 10 0 10
Sw Archie Milner 10 0 10 Sw Cristian Barone 11 0 11
Df Devon Allen 13 0 13 Df Harrison George 12 0 12
Df Algernon Murphy 5 2 7 Df Jay Banks 11 0 11
Mf Evan Burns 14 0 14 Df James Moore 10 0 10
Mf Sylar Kelley 14 0 14 Mf Ellis Macbeth 12 0 12
Mf Jonas Koch 8 0 8 Mf Busby Næss 10 0 10
Mf Sheng Guo 5 2 7 Mf Charles Elliott 8 0 8
Fw Marcos Azevedo 13 0 13 Mf Harry Hunter 8 2 10
Fw William Murphy 10 0 10 Fw Mark Tufnel 11 0 11
Fw Scott Marshall 9 0 9 Fw Jannis Lehmann 10 0 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
13 10 20 43 32 ROSTER TOTALS 10 11 33 40 21
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 1 2 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 10 20 43 32 T O T A L S 11 12 35 40 23
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.55 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.1 (no red card)
Sw Archie Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.78 (no red card)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.35 (no red card)
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.56 (no red card)
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.28 (no red card)
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.77 (no red card)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.73 (no red card)
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.08 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.48 (no red card)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.79 (no red card)
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.39 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Scott Marshall new match skill level = 5
Scott Marshall new match total level = 5
******* GOOLE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 6
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Brian Washington: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 44.42 (no red card)
Sw Cristian Barone: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 58.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 11.48 (no red card)
Df Harrison George: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 46.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 76.83 (no red card)
Df Jay Banks: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 93.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 45.73 (no red card)
Df James Moore: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 69.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 57.13 (no red card)
Mf Ellis Macbeth: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 94.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 36.85 (no red card)
Mf Busby Næss: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 53.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 7.7 (no red card)
Mf Charles Elliott: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 44.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 9.44 (no red card)
Mf Harry Hunter: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 93.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 56.39 (no red card)
Fw Mark Tufnel: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 83.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 9.26 (no red card)
Fw Jannis Lehmann: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 22.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 62.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
- Goole AFC Team Hardness = 6
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.88 (no injury)
Sw Archie Milner: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 93.82 (no injury)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 19.31 (no injury)
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 19.73 (no injury)
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 24.03 (no injury)
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 10.54 (no injury)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 51.92 (no injury)
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 87.36 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 22.92 (no injury)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 62.57 (no injury)
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 75.87 (no injury)
******* GOOLE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Goole AFC Team Hardness = 6
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Brian Washington: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 84.5 (no injury)
Sw Cristian Barone: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.98 (no injury)
Df Harrison George: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.9 (no injury)
Df Jay Banks: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.91 (no injury)
Df James Moore: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.87 (no injury)
Mf Ellis Macbeth: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.95 (no injury)
Mf Busby Næss: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.4 (no injury)
Mf Charles Elliott: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.99 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Charles Elliott is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Charles Elliott new match skill level = 4
Charles Elliott new match total level = 4
Mf Harry Hunter: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.76 (no injury)
Fw Mark Tufnel: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.78 (no injury)
Fw Jannis Lehmann: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* GOOLE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Evan Burns SL 14
- Defending Gk: Brian Washington SL 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Harrison George SL 12
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 13
intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 13 10 20 43 28
Goole AFC 11 12 35 36 23
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 35)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((43 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Mf Sheng Guo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Sheng Guo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Evan Burns
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 15.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* GOOLE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Goole AFC 11 12 35 36 23
Welling United FC 13 10 20 43 28
Goole AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (23 - 20); result rounded up
Goole AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 43) / 2; rounded up)
Goole AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((35 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Goole AFC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Harrison George
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df James Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Jay Banks
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Mark Tufnel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Jannis Lehmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jannis Lehmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 0 - GOOLE AFC 1
Match Notes
Most like a painful AP opener
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/03 - 9:19 AM
Eduard's right, it will be painful. Probably for us specifically.
Olmec Head Tim (Goole AFC) 05/07 - 7:52 PM
Olmec Head Tim does not sound confident...
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 05/09 - 9:03 AM
Scraped through 1-0. Vick, I'm never confident — and yet here we are. Eduard, painful enough for you?
Olmec Head Tim (Goole AFC) 05/09 - 3:30 PM
Ouch+
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 05/09 - 7:43 PM
A really big ouch
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/15 - 8:09 PM
The most silly roll was WEL getting a straight RC playing hardness 0 - while GOO's hardness 6 was completely unpunished
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/15 - 8:11 PM
OTOH: at least no WEL injuries this time
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/15 - 8:12 PM
We won. Eduard's side received a red card for playing gently while our aggression went entirely unpunished, which tells you everything about fairness as a concept. I have stopped being surprised.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/16 - 7:31 PM
Goole grind out a 1-0 on neutral ground — sometimes one goal is all the fortress needs. Marvin's side held their shape when it mattered most.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/16 - 7:31 PM