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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            12    0   12     Gk Florian De Vos         13    0   13
Sw Aarron Lowe            14    0   14     Df Ben Lawrence           12    0   12
Df Luke Jackson           10    0   10     Df Aidan O'Neil           11    0   11
Df Oscar Evans             5    2    7     Sw Gabriel Williams        3    2    5
Mf Henning Pedersen       10    0   10     Mf Luis Schmidt           10    0   10
Mf Aarron Shepherd        10    0   10     Mf Juan Jose Carmona      10    0   10
Fw Marty Allen            15    0   15     Mf Lewis Smith             6    0    6
Fw Isaac Howells          13    0   13     Mf Benjamin Healy          5    2    7
Fw Reuben Thomas          13    0   13     Mf Gregor Millar           2    2    4
Fw Harry Pastor            5    2    7     Fw Hans Fischer            7    0    7
Fw Ben Butcher             2    2    4     Fw Ian Hunter              5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 14 17 20 52        ROSTER TOTALS      13  5 23 37 14    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  7    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 14 18 20 52         T O T A L S       16  5 23 37 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.51 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.78 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.34 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.02 (no red card)

Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.29 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.94 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.14 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.94 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.19 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.18 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.04 (no second yellow)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 77.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 23.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 49.11 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 67.4 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 82.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 3.65 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 14.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 52.95 (no second yellow)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 52.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 72.24 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 82.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 21.6 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 99.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 8.55 (no red card)

Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 28.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 41.2 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 36.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 12.57 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 76.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 28.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 68.26 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 82.11 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 91.89 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 35.59 (no injury) 
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 9.08 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Henning Pedersen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 87.74 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 35.84 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 2.46 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Isaac Howells is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Isaac Howells new match skill level =  7
      Isaac Howells new match total level =  7
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 88.63 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 58.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 17.01 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 21.59 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 54.1 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 21.7 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 44.41 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 54.93 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 5.85 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 74.48 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 76.18 (no injury) 
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 31.84 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 56.52 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 68.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Marty Allen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Lawrence SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 69 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            12  14  18  20  46
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16   5  23  37  21

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 23 (46 - 23); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 21) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 47.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 48.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 48.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 22.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 4.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 15.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16   5  23  37  21
  AFC Wimbledon            12  14  18  20  46

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (21 - 18); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 9 ((37 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Luis Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Luis Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 10.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
This should be a fun one to keep an eye on
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/03 - 10:35 AM
Unfair matchup here...I can sense Dave taunting us...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/04 - 1:39 AM
AFC is a 2 goal dog at home……..this won’t be much of a match
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/04 - 3:54 AM
Hey Dave, don't forget to save some GPPs for us later in the season...
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 01/04 - 3:25 PM
Don’t worry I man, it’s in the budget and they have been allocated appropriately
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/04 - 4:48 PM
Fortunate to get a win today against the might Dons! Well played Dave!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/04 - 7:11 PM
I appreciated the hard work from the referees to keep it fair today.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/04 - 7:12 PM
The get well soon card is in the mail for Isaac Howells. May he heal soon...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/04 - 7:12 PM
Utter BS
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/04 - 7:26 PM
 
 
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