Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:10:13 PM (gmt)
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             12    0   12     Gk Jermaine Parry         10    0   10
Df Evan Burke             10    0   10     Sw Sean Carroll            5    2    7
Df Cliff Trickelbank      10    0   10     Df Sean Callahan          13    0   13
Df Jared Lampton           2    2    4     Df Finn Fitzgerald        12    0   12
Mf Ryan Ludley            10    0   10     Df Ciaran Healy            5    2    7
Mf Lucas Phillips          5    2    7     Mf Kunio Yamamoto         13    0   13
Fw Jermaine Bennett       13    0   13     Mf Joe Barrett            16    0   16
Fw Raphaël Soulie         10    0   10     Mf Bailey Oakes            5    2    7
Fw Agustin Martínez       13    0   13     Fw Michael Turner         10    0   10
Fw Sean Moore              6    0    6     Fw Liam Thwaite           10    0   10
Fw Joe Baker               5    2    7     Fw Jens Kristensen         5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 24 17 49        ROSTER TOTALS      10  7 32 36 27    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 24 17 49         T O T A L S       10 10 32 36 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 98.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 6.42 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.45 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.45 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.93 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.73 (no red card)

Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.11 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.88 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.75 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.81 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.08 (no red card)

Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.04 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jermaine Parry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.68 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 36.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 69.49 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.07 (no red card)

Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 71.71 (no second yellow)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 24.16 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 79.04 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 67.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.2 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.45 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.3 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Michael Turner new match skill level =  5
      Michael Turner new match total level =  5

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.88 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.8 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.1 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 69.83 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 85.48 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 90.94 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 2.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Ryan Ludley is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ryan Ludley new match skill level =  5
      Ryan Ludley new match total level =  5
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 45.53 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 11.57 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 57.79 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 28.94 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 36.22 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 66.08 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Jermaine Parry: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 65.64 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.49 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.85 (no injury) 
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.1 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.64 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.03 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.69 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.82 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.94 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.23 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.19 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jermaine Bennett SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jermaine Parry SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 52 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   13   0  24  12  49
  Tonbridge Angels         10  10  32  36  22

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 17 (49 - 32); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((24 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Cliff Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 42.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 76.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         10  10  32  36  22
  Swindon Supermarine FC   13   0  24  12  49

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 24)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 12 ((36 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 41.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 13.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 6.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2
 
Match Notes
We have a great recent run of results against Swindon hopefully we can continue it. Good luck John.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/18 - 2:48 PM
A shocking first half made it almost impossible for us.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/26 - 2:51 PM
 
 
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