Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:53:13 PM (gmt)
 
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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes          10    0   10     Gk Andrés Ramos           13    0   13
Sw Jamie Johnson          13    0   13     Sw Leo McNeill             9    0    9
Df Robin Ostrander        13    0   13     Df Barry Fortune-West      9    0    9
Df Thomás Lebre           10    0   10     Df Declan MacLellan        2    2    4
Mf Jonathan Heddle        12    0   12     Mf Padraig Conley          5    2    7
Mf Victor Shepard         10    0   10     Mf Cliff Cooper            5    2    7
Fw Facundo Bruno          15    0   15     Mf Leron  Katz             2    2    4
Fw Jamie Carroll          12    0   12     Mf Simon Müller            2    2    4
Fw William Johnson        12    0   12     Fw Kai Burke              12    0   12
Fw Nils Schneider         11    0   11     Fw Marcos Nuñez            5    2    7
Fw Nathan Phillips        10    0   10     Fw Craig Porterfield       2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 13 23 22 60        ROSTER TOTALS      13  9 13 22 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 13 23 22 60         T O T A L S       13 12 17 22 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.08 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.8 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.07 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.7 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.88 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.72 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.82 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.33 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.18 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.0 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.96 (no red card)

Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.87 (no red card)

Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.74 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.86 (no red card)

Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.74 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.3 (no red card)

Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)

Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.72 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.61 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.76 (no red card)

Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.6 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.87 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.7 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.0 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.51 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.81 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.8 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.92 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.39 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.23 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.02 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 63.93 (no injury) 
Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.64 (no injury) 
Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.71 (no injury) 
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.73 (no injury) 
Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.44 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.61 (no injury) 
Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.09 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.26 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.12 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.63 (no injury) 
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.62 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 13

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kai Burke SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 10

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            10  13  23  22  60
  Ilkeston Town FC         13  12  17  22  23

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 43 (60 - 17); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 43

1: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
36: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
37: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
39: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
42: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
43: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 13.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         13  12  17  22  23
  Luton Town FC            10  13  23  22  60

Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 23)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 1  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
ILK has had our number for years, need to swing that the other way, best of luck, Steve.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/24 - 5:48 PM
 
 
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