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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Kennedy           9    0    9     Gk Florian De Vos         13    0   13
Sw Simon Carter            3    0    3     Df Aidan O'Neil           11    0   11
Df Nathan Doyle           10    0   10     Df Trevor Harewood        10    0   10
Df Peter Price             8    0    8     Df Benjamin Newton        10    0   10
Df Luke Sinclair           5    2    7     Sw Vegar Aas               0    2    2
Mf Marty Nicholls          8    0    8     Mf Michael Möller         10    0   10
Mf Ian Hanny               5    2    7     Mf Juan Jose Carmona      10    0   10
Mf David Kirk              2    2    4     Mf Benjamin Healy          5    2    7
Fw Francesco Rinaldi      13    0   13     Fw William Torres         10    0   10
Fw Vladimir Popov          5    2    7     Fw Braulio  Salas         13    0   13
Fw Calum Kelly             4    2    6     Fw Ian Hunter              5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  3 25 19 26        ROSTER TOTALS      13  2 31 27 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  7    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  3 25 19 26         T O T A L S       16  2 31 27 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.59 (no red card)

Sw Simon Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.32 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.8 (no red card)

Df Peter Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.89 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.59 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.34 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.28 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.24 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.81 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.35 (no red card)

Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.95 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 63.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 75.4 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 35.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 56.28 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 55.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 7.38 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 68.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 77.02 (no red card)

Sw Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 31.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 34.04 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 56.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 11.53 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 74.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 47.71 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 26.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 40.07 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 43.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 61.56 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 55.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 47.13 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 57.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 25.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 90.55 (no injury) 
Sw Simon Carter: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 0.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Simon Carter is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Simon Carter new match skill level =  2
      Simon Carter new match total level =  2
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 59.81 (no injury) 
Df Peter Price: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 63.3 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 81.29 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 73.33 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 17.68 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 98.88 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 58.98 (no injury) 
Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 59.12 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.08 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 53.32 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 34.72 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 76.93 (no injury) 
Sw Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 5.45 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 53.97 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 50.98 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 21.52 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 43.35 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 58.22 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 69.73 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Francesco Rinaldi SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 24 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Braulio  Salas SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Frank Kennedy SL 9

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       9   2  25  19  26
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16   2  31  27  37

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 31)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16   2  31  27  37
  Chippenham Town FC       9   2  25  19  26

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 12 (37 - 25); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((27 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((31 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Michael Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 98.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 24.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Michael Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 42.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 42.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 91.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 39 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 1  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 3
 
Match Notes
Mr Sellers, sir...please look kindly upon your poor downtrodden opponent. Please allow him if not a win a close loss or even a draw. All the best Al
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 12/28 - 11:32 PM
Uh oh. Mr. Fowler's club beat up on us 3-1 in the last AP Cup match. Looks rough for our Beavers today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/04 - 1:27 AM
Fortunate to get a win today. Well played Matt!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/04 - 7:17 PM
 
 
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