(N)

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral

Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
AP Cup Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LUTON TOWN FC ILKESTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Hayden Barnes 10 0 10 Gk Andrés Ramos 13 0 13 Sw Jamie Johnson 13 0 13 Sw Leo McNeill 9 0 9 Df Robin Ostrander 13 0 13 Df Barry Fortune-West 9 0 9 Df Thomás Lebre 10 0 10 Df Declan MacLellan 2 2 4 Mf Jonathan Heddle 12 0 12 Mf Padraig Conley 5 2 7 Mf Victor Shepard 10 0 10 Mf Cliff Cooper 5 2 7 Fw Facundo Bruno 15 0 15 Mf Leron Katz 2 2 4 Fw Jamie Carroll 12 0 12 Mf Simon Müller 2 2 4 Fw William Johnson 12 0 12 Fw Kai Burke 12 0 12 Fw Nils Schneider 11 0 11 Fw Marcos Nuñez 5 2 7 Fw Nathan Phillips 10 0 10 Fw Craig Porterfield 2 2 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 13 23 22 60 ROSTER TOTALS 13 9 13 22 23 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 10 13 23 22 60 T O T A L S 13 12 17 22 23 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.55 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.08 (no red card) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.8 (no red card) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.07 (no red card) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.7 (no red card) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.88 (no red card) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.72 (no red card) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.82 (no red card) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.33 (no red card) Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.18 (no red card) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no red card) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.0 (no red card) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.64 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.96 (no red card) Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.87 (no red card) Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.74 (no red card) Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.86 (no red card) Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.74 (no red card) Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.3 (no red card) Mf Leron Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card) Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.72 (no red card) Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.61 (no red card) Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.76 (no red card) Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.71 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.6 (no injury) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.87 (no injury) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.7 (no injury) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.0 (no injury) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.51 (no injury) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.81 (no injury) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.8 (no injury) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.92 (no injury) Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.39 (no injury) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.23 (no injury) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.02 (no injury) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 63.93 (no injury) Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.64 (no injury) Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.71 (no injury) Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.73 (no injury) Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.44 (no injury) Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.61 (no injury) Mf Leron Katz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.09 (no injury) Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.26 (no injury) Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.12 (no injury) Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.63 (no injury) Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.62 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 15 - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 13 intRndPk = 65 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Kai Burke SL 12 - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 10 intRndPk = 40 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 10 13 23 22 60 Ilkeston Town FC 13 12 17 22 23 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 43 (60 - 17); result rounded up Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2; rounded up) Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 3; rounded up) Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 43 1: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 33: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 36: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 37: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 39: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 40: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 41: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 42: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 43: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 13.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Ilkeston Town FC 13 12 17 22 23 Luton Town FC 10 13 23 22 60 Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw! Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 23) Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2; rounded up) Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LUTON TOWN FC 1 - ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes

ILK has had our number for years, need to swing that the other way, best of luck, Steve.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/24 - 5:48 PM