Session 4 orders deadline in 26 hours and 59 minutes
Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Friday, June 13th, 2025 - 04:00:21 PM (gmt)
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner            11    1   12     Gk Andrés Ramos           14    1   15
Sw Sean Carroll            6    2    8     Sw Declan Wilson          13    1   14
Df Luke Crowley           13    1   14     Df Liam Conner            13    0   13
Df Sean Callahan          13    1   14     Df Shayne Porter          15    0   15
Df Finn Fitzgerald        12    0   12     Df Leo McNeill            11    1   12
Df Ciaran Healy            6    2    8     Mf Kenzie Munro           10    2   12
Mf Kunio Yamamoto         13    1   14     Mf Esteban Gallet          8    1    9
Mf Joe Barrett            16    1   17     Fw André Souza            13    1   14
Mf Fernando Rocha         11    0   11     Fw Kai Burke              12    0   12
Fw Matais Juarez          13    1   14     Fw Cole Hamilton          11    0   11
Fw Michael Turner         11    1   12     Fw Moritz Schultze         8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  8 48 42 26        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 40 21 45    
       3  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 11 48 42 26         T O T A L S       15 14 40 21 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 62.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 71.51 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 22.29 (no second yellow)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 93.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 26.9 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 2.7 (no second yellow)

Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 38.23 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 69.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 10.58 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 34.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 73.87 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 24.19 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 10.68 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 43.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 76.89 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 45.76 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.15 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.3 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.73 (no second yellow)

Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.95 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.91 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.05 (no red card)

Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.79 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.14 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.32 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.24 (no red card)

Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 37.2 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.76 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.86 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Sean Callahan is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sean Callahan new match skill level =  7
      Sean Callahan new match total level =  8
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.56 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.35 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.66 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.62 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.3 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.43 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.96 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 36.58 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 43.74 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.51 (no injury) 
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.67 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 3.52 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Leo McNeill is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Leo McNeill new match skill level =  6
      Leo McNeill new match total level =  7
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 92.0 (no injury) 
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 76.51 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 57.39 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 25.7 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 32.65 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 14

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Shayne Porter SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         15  11  42  42  26
  Ilkeston Town FC         15  14  35  21  45

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 35)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 11 ((42 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 23.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         15  14  35  21  45
  Tonbridge Angels         15  11  42  42  26

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 3 (45 - 42); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((35 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 84.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Winner take all game. Tonbridge advance in a draw.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/25 - 10:44 PM
All four teams have three points. Steve has the advantage with the better goal difference.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/26 - 2:59 PM
This is a fun Group, with all 4 teams at 3 pts coming into today, play on!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/31 - 7:28 PM
Fortunate to win this.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/01 - 8:13 PM
I knew this game was going to be tough but we got a bit unlucky and ended up losing and going out.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/02 - 10:28 PM
 
 
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