(N)
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
TONBRIDGE ANGELS HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Elias Jönsson 11 1 12 Gk Erik Holm 12 1 13
Sw Sean Carroll 12 1 13 Sw Shane Sweeney 11 0 11
Df Ciaran Healy 13 0 13 Df Gabriel Williams 12 0 12
Df William Larson 12 0 12 Df Fernando Silva 16 2 18
Df Jose Ortiz 11 0 11 Mf Gregor Millar 13 1 14
Df Stan Thompson 6 2 8 Mf Ross Browne 6 2 8
Mf Sean Long 12 0 12 Mf Nuno Eiras 2 2 4
Mf Lok Lín 6 0 6 Fw Justin Neumann 13 2 15
Fw Jens Kristensen 13 1 14 Fw Ian Hunter 12 2 14
Fw Michael Turner 16 0 16 Fw Leonardo Delgado 10 0 10
Fw Hayden Marshall 6 2 8 Fw John MacDonald 10 0 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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12 13 44 18 38 ROSTER TOTALS 13 11 30 26 49
0 0 0 3 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
12 13 44 21 38 T O T A L S 13 11 30 26 49
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.77 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.14 (no red card)
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 43.31 (no red card)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.72 (no red card)
Df William Larson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 77.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 58.41 (no red card)
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.82 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.31 (no second yellow)
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 57.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 30.25 (no red card)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.3 (no red card)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 44.9 (no red card)
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 43.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.24 (no red card)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 76.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.39 (no red card)
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 44.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.96 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.18 (no red card)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.02 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.63 (no red card)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.65 (no red card)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.3 (no red card)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.94 (no red card)
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.46 (no red card)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.87 (no red card)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.98 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.98 (no red card)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 22.77 (no injury)
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.4 (no injury)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.53 (no injury)
Df William Larson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.15 (no injury)
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.33 (no injury)
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.81 (no injury)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.54 (no injury)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.97 (no injury)
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.94 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.78 (no injury)
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.1 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 70.51 (no injury)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 79.82 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 19.5 (no injury)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 98.73 (no injury)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 93.14 (no injury)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 7.51 (no injury)
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.43 (no injury)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 52.3 (no injury)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.44 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 69.69 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 12
intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
- Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 12 13 44 21 38
Harrogate Railway AFC 13 11 30 26 49
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 8 (38 - 30); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Hayden Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 29.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Hayden Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 72.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 13 11 30 26 49
Tonbridge Angels 12 13 44 21 38
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (49 - 44); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 38) / 3; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
Match Notes
We need to win to secure qualification or a draw may be enough depending on the outcome of the other match.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/14 - 8:06 PM
Ouch! The Angels get the late winner crashing the Beavers out of the competition. Well played Andy!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/16 - 7:12 PM
Shaw's defensive blueprint delivered again. One-nil, clinical, inevitable — like thermodynamics, really. The Commish will have opinions about this, I imagine, which is fine, as opinions cost nothing and change even less.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/16 - 7:31 PM
Andy Shaw does what Andy Shaw does — keeps it tight, wins it 1-0, moves on. The Commish will be stewing on that one, but you can't argue with the result.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/16 - 7:31 PM