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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Kennedy           9    0    9     Gk Kenzie Ross            12    1   13
Sw Simon Howells           7    0    7     Df Luke Jackson           10    0   10
Df Nathan Doyle           10    0   10     Df Lee Robertson          10    2   12
Df Jan Beerman             9    0    9     Df Ryan Barber             2    2    4
Df Luke Sinclair           6    2    8     Mf Henning Pedersen       10    1   11
Mf Marty Nicholls          9   -2    7     Mf Manuel Iglesias         6    2    8
Mf Evan Jones              5    2    7     Fw Reuben Thomas          13    1   14
Mf Ernest Dohm             5    0    5     Fw Sheng Hé               10    2   12
Fw James St.Hubbins        9    0    9     Fw Paul Ellis             10    2   12
Fw Dave Byrne              6    0    6     Fw Harry Pastor            6    2    8
Fw Vladimir Popov          5    2    7     Fw Carrington Bates        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  7 27 19 22        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 26 19 53    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  7 27 19 22         T O T A L S       13  0 26 19 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.66 (no red card)

Sw Simon Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.1 (no red card)

Df Jan Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.25 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.81 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.66 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.42 (no red card)

Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.97 (no red card)

Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.7 (no red card)

Fw Dave Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.43 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.31 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.42 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.07 (no red card)

Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.45 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.6 (no red card)

Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.11 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.56 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.33 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.05 (no red card)

Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.61 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.08 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.1 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.86 (no injury) 
Sw Simon Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.85 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.71 (no injury) 
Df Jan Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.39 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.73 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.62 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.8 (no injury) 
Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.95 (no injury) 
Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.47 (no injury) 
Fw Dave Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.33 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.14 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.83 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.72 (no injury) 
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.25 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.03 (no injury) 
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.08 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.82 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.55 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.67 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.38 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.77 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Doyle SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 12

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Reuben Thomas SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Frank Kennedy SL 9

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       9   7  27  19  22
  AFC Wimbledon            13   0  26  19  53

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 26)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            13   0  26  19  53
  Chippenham Town FC       9   7  27  19  22

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 26 (53 - 27); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((26 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Luke Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 19.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 20.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 63.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 39.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 96.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 36.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 38.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 2
 
Match Notes
Wimbledon are guaranteed to advance with a three goal win (sigh) or by bettering Diamonds' result and Chippenham need to win and have Diamonds lose and overtake on goal difference.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/05 - 6:55 AM
Sorry John, no big win here. All the best Dave
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 01/11 - 7:34 AM
 
 
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