Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:05:20 PM (gmt)
 
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gordon Wilkins         10    0   10     Gk Owen Rooney            11    0   11
Sw Luís Morais            13    0   13     Sw Reece Hamilton          7    0    7
Df Robert Howells         13    0   13     Df Jan Beerman             6    0    6
Df Markus Jacobsen        13    0   13     Df Bryan Price             5    2    7
Df Axel Lacour             5    2    7     Df Michael Schmidt         4    2    6
Mf Niklas König           13    0   13     Df Diego Torres            2    2    4
Mf Christopher Cannon     10    0   10     Mf Marty Nicholls          7    0    7
Mf Gabriel Welbeck         5    2    7     Mf Luis Gonzalez           6    0    6
Fw William Hay            13    0   13     Mf David Kirk              4    2    6
Fw Mark Solomon           14    0   14     Fw Paul Millot             6    0    6
Fw Sam East               10    0   10     Fw Hans Frings             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 13 33 30 37        ROSTER TOTALS      11  7 23 19 12    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 13 33 30 37         T O T A L S       11  7 23 19 12    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 66.47 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.49 (no red card)

Df Robert Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.01 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.67 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.79 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.78 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.95 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.18 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.68 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.73 (no second yellow)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.16 (no second yellow)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.59 (no red card)

Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.84 (no red card)

Df Jan Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.38 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.15 (no red card)

Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.21 (no red card)

Df Diego Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.27 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.04 (no red card)

Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.39 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.36 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.86 (no red card)

Fw Hans Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.06 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.8 (no injury) 
Df Robert Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.33 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.94 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.57 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.72 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.83 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.58 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.7 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.31 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.11 (no injury) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 36.03 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.38 (no injury) 
Df Jan Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.12 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.47 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.63 (no injury) 
Df Diego Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.72 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.63 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.37 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.57 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.03 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Frings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.5 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mark Solomon SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 11

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marty Nicholls SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   11  13  33  30  37
  Chippenham Town FC       11   7  23  19  12

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 14 (37 - 23); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 6 ((30 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 7 ((33 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Robert Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Axel Lacour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Robert Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Robert Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 35.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 88.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 81.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 38.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 34.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 45.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 44.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 4.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 62.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       11   7  23  19  12
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   11  13  33  30  37

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 33)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2  -  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
I suspect an easy win for the Diamonds!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 05/13 - 1:31 PM
Never in this one!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 05/25 - 8:24 PM
 
 
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