Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:34:35 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC
Non League IV
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         13    0   13     Gk Wes Day                 9    0    9
Sw Shane Sweeney           2    2    4     Sw Marty Harrison         11    0   11
Df Trevor Harewood        11    0   11     Df Finn Walter            12    0   12
Df Gabriel Williams       10    0   10     Df Samuel Ferguson         9    0    9
Df Ben Lawrence            9    0    9     Df Jens Blucher            8    0    8
Mf Benjamin Healy         10    0   10     Mf Napoleon Bonneau       12    0   12
Mf Luis Schmidt            7    0    7     Mf Kyle Brides            11    0   11
Fw Conor Thompson         14    0   14     Mf Philipp Schulz          7    2    9
Fw William Torres         12    0   12     Mf Barry White             6    0    6
Fw Ian Hunter             10    0   10     Fw Lars Voorhees          11    0   11
Fw Braulio  Salas          7    0    7     Fw Gregg Burns            11    0   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  4 30 17 43        ROSTER TOTALS       9 11 29 38 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  1  1  1    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  4 30 17 43         T O T A L S       10 11 30 39 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.15 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.55 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.72 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.14 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.18 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.35 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.65 (no red card)

Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.83 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.13 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.21 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.88 (no red card)

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Wes Day: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 91.04 (no red card)

Sw Marty Harrison: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 1.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.62 (no second yellow)

Df Finn Walter: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 90.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 55.8 (no red card)

Df Samuel Ferguson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 8.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 28.36 (no second yellow)

Df Jens Blucher: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 15.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 73.28 (no red card)

Mf Napoleon Bonneau: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 12.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 24.29 (no red card)

Mf Kyle Brides: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 69.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 16.27 (no red card)

Mf Philipp Schulz: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 39.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.57 (no red card)

Mf Barry White: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 88.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 27.13 (no red card)

Fw Lars Voorhees: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 2.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 51.82 (no second yellow)

Fw Gregg Burns: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 24.77 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.18 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 15.05 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 22.18 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 39.46 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 90.27 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 39.58 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 76.22 (no injury) 
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 91.28 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 34.94 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 81.92 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 11.99 (no injury) 

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Team Hardness = 4
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Wes Day: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 70.82 (no injury) 
Sw Marty Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 13.04 (no injury) 
Df Finn Walter: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 47.24 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Ferguson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.32 (no injury) 
Df Jens Blucher: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.05 (no injury) 
Mf Napoleon Bonneau: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.31 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle Brides: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.13 (no injury) 
Mf Philipp Schulz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.54 (no injury) 
Mf Barry White: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.93 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Barry White is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Barry White new match skill level =  3
      Barry White new match total level =  3
Fw Lars Voorhees: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.1 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Burns: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Conor Thompson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Wes Day SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Finn Walter SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 13

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    13   4  30  17  43
  Rainworth Miners Welfare FC10  11  30  36  23

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 13 (43 - 30); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((30 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Gabriel Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 50.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Trevor Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 14.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Gabriel Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 63.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 8.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 5.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 71.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 95.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Rainworth Miners Welfare FC10  11  30  36  23
  Harrogate Railway AFC    13   4  30  17  43

Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 30)
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((36 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Kyle Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 76.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 31.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Kyle Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Kyle Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 79.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Kyle Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Philipp Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 17.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 3  -  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC 2
 
Match Notes
Seems like a fair AP Cup opener for our Fighting Beavers!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/09 - 9:38 PM
🚑
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/24 - 9:56 PM
 
 
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