Session 4 orders deadline in 27 hours and 25 minutes
Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Friday, June 13th, 2025 - 03:34:31 PM (gmt)
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain             7    2    9     Gk Elias Jönsson           3    2    5
Df Mason Shaw             13    1   14     Sw Sean Carroll            6    2    8
Df Cliff Trickelbank      11    1   12     Df Sean Callahan          13    1   14
Df Pablo Arboleda          6    1    7     Df Mathias Sørensen       11    1   12
Mf Ryan White             13    0   13     Df Earl Kelly             10    1   11
Mf Lewis Coppell          13    0   13     Mf Kunio Yamamoto         13    1   14
Fw Jermaine Bennett       13    1   14     Mf Fernando Rocha         11    0   11
Fw Raphaël Soulie         11    1   12     Mf Jordi Navarro           3    2    5
Fw Agustin Martínez       13    1   14     Fw Michael Turner         11    2   13
Fw Joe Baker               6    2    8     Fw Scott Marshall         10    1   11
Fw Aidan Anderson          6    2    8     Fw Daniel Barbosa          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 33 26 56        ROSTER TOTALS       5  8 37 30 29    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 33 26 65         T O T A L S        8  9 44 30 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 65.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 79.4 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.75 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.68 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.73 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.41 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.1 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.06 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.78 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.1 (no red card)

Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.03 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.37 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 32.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 51.1 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 2.33 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 71.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.65 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 63.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.73 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 54.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 26.01 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 71.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 53.1 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 52.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.21 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 45.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 30.43 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 44.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 40.74 (no red card)

Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 22.56 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 98.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 0.58 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Daniel Barbosa new match skill level =  2
      Daniel Barbosa new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 8.53 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 35.03 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 89.52 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 86.01 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 81.07 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 39.78 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 79.06 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 82.7 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 91.56 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 33.65 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 56.91 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 94.6 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 33.07 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 62.62 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 46.21 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 16.19 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 96.88 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 96.32 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 8.9 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 95.45 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 2.0 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Scott Marshall is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Scott Marshall new match skill level =  5
      Scott Marshall new match total level =  6
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 88.03 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Mason Shaw SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sean Callahan SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   10   0  33  26  65
  Tonbridge Angels         8   9  44  30  23

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 21 (65 - 44); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 2 ((33 - 23) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Cliff Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 21.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 65.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 58.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 34.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 77.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 16.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         8   9  44  30  23
  Swindon Supermarine FC   10   0  33  26  65

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 33)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 66.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
John will be all out to get some points on the board. Hopefully we can frustrate them.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/02 - 10:29 PM
John Blazel says that the rumors of him getting relegated are greatly exaggerated...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/07 - 8:19 PM
A deserved win for Swindon, no excuses from me.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/08 - 4:56 PM
 
 
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