(N)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
AP Cup Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes 13 0 13 Gk Aidan Peters 5 2 7
Sw Joel Strömberg 10 0 10 Df Daniel Baldwin 12 0 12
Df Philipp Koch 15 0 15 Df Evan Burke 7 0 7
Df Reis Golan 10 0 10 Df Ahmed Alaoui 5 2 7
Mf David Perry 13 0 13 Mf Lucas Phillips 12 0 12
Mf Nathan Dean 13 0 13 Mf Jay Campbell 5 2 7
Mf Harley Ritchie 5 2 7 Fw Joe Baker 12 0 12
Fw Philipp Hoffmann 13 0 13 Fw Aidan Anderson 12 0 12
Fw Corey Williams 9 0 9 Fw Leo O'Donnell 10 0 10
Fw Albin Hansson 9 0 9 Fw Tyler MacDonald 10 0 10
Fw Victor Jourdan 5 2 7 Fw Jermaine Bennett 6 0 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
13 10 25 33 38 ROSTER TOTALS 7 0 26 19 50
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 10 25 33 38 T O T A L S 7 0 26 19 50
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.29 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.29 (no red card)
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.79 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.32 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.25 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.37 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.59 (no red card)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.51 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.05 (no red card)
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.06 (no red card)
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.65 (no red card)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.36 (no red card)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Aidan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.85 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.11 (no red card)
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.05 (no red card)
Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.37 (no red card)
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.9 (no red card)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.48 (no red card)
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.84 (no red card)
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.12 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.58 (no second yellow)
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.15 (no red card)
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.13 (no red card)
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.97 (no red card)
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.44 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.02 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.5 (no injury)
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.61 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.32 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.65 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.43 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.47 (no injury)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.85 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.84 (no injury)
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.01 (no injury)
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no injury)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.21 (no injury)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Aidan Peters: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.97 (no injury)
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.66 (no injury)
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.58 (no injury)
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.63 (no injury)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.45 (no injury)
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.51 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Jay Campbell is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.31 (no injury)
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.14 (no injury)
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.28 (no injury)
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.06 (no injury)
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.31 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Philipp Koch SL 15
- Defending Gk: Aidan Peters SL 5
intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Daniel Baldwin SL 12
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 13
intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 13 10 25 33 38
Swindon Supermarine FC 7 0 26 19 50
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (38 - 26); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((33 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 50) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 1.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 25.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 19.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 77.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Victor Jourdan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 24.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 23.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 93.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 44.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 53.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Victor Jourdan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 27.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Albin Hansson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 95.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Supermarine FC 7 0 26 19 50
Luton Town FC 13 10 25 33 38
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 25 (50 - 25); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 33) / 2; rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 38) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 76.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 3 - SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 4
Match Notes
We have a big advantage in this one historically, but I have a feeling those numbers are much closer since John "The Blazer" Blazel has been at the helm.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/09 - 1:33 PM
Best of luck, John!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/09 - 1:33 PM
Had a couple of weird scoring matches this session. On the right end of one, on the wrong end of this one. Well done, John.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/11 - 11:42 AM