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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
AP Cup Group (1)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              BEDFORD TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            15    0   15     Gk Gianluca De Luca       13    0   13
Sw Riley O'Brien          10    0   10     Sw Sean Buckley           10    0   10
Df Kian Doyle             13    0   13     Df Daniel Chen            11    0   11
Df Harry Johnson          13    0   13     Df Darren Hanny            5    2    7
Df Louis Butler            5    2    7     Mf Stefan Jensen          16    0   16
Fw Oscar Hall             15    0   15     Mf Alfredo Rey             5    2    7
Mf Archie Blair           12    0   12     Fw Jamie Craig            13    0   13
Mf Aarron Shepherd        10    0   10     Fw Jed Monkhouse          13    0   13
Fw Erik Lang              13    0   13     Fw Carlton Lloyd          10    0   10
Fw Marty Allen             5    2    7     Fw Morgan Clark           10    0   10
Fw Isaac Howells           5    2    7     Fw Leo White               4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 10 33 22 42        ROSTER TOTALS      13 10 18 23 52    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 10 33 22 42         T O T A L S       13 10 18 23 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 83.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 44.93 (no red card)

Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.06 (no red card)

Df Kian Doyle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.18 (no red card)

Df Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.96 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.34 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.59 (no red card)

Mf Archie Blair: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.19 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.38 (no second yellow)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.03 (no red card)

Fw Erik Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.08 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.13 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.14 (no red card)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.52 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.35 (no red card)

Df Daniel Chen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.87 (no red card)

Df Darren Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.85 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.94 (no red card)

Mf Alfredo Rey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.2 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.71 (no red card)

Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.31 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.77 (no second yellow)

Fw Morgan Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.21 (no red card)

Fw Leo White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 58.45 (no injury) 
Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.16 (no injury) 
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.4 (no injury) 
Df Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.98 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.96 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.37 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Blair: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.46 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.48 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.9 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.97 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.67 (no injury) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 64.85 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.1 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Chen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.29 (no injury) 
Df Darren Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.07 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.04 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Stefan Jensen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Alfredo Rey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.24 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.67 (no injury) 
Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.95 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.76 (no injury) 
Fw Morgan Clark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.69 (no injury) 
Fw Leo White: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gianluca De Luca SL 13

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Stefan Jensen SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            16  10  33  22  42
  Bedford Town FC          13  10  18  23  52

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 24 (42 - 18); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          13  10  18  23  52
  AFC Wimbledon            16  10  33  22  42

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 19 (52 - 33); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Morgan Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Leo White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Morgan Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Morgan Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 26.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 41.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Morgan Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Morgan Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 35.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 11.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 44.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Jamie Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Morgan Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jamie Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Oh boy what a welcome another tough group
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 01/08 - 11:37 PM
Tell me about it
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/12 - 1:49 PM
Compo has a 1-match winning streak in this fixture...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/21 - 2:40 PM
That’s what I am talking about……..tough road here
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/21 - 7:28 PM
Having to face merciless York and giant-slaying Rainworth in the next two matches, it would appear that the loser of this one is all but done in the AP just as it’s getting started
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/24 - 3:38 PM
will this be the icing on the Compo birthday cake!
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 01/26 - 1:43 PM
Which of these managers is the oldest?
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 01/27 - 1:06 AM
Being drawn against Dave is really unfair on Compo. Does Olmec hate him or something?
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 01/27 - 1:16 AM
Respect our elders
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/27 - 3:51 AM
9 of 12 off target sealed our fate
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/27 - 8:20 PM
Far from a bore draw, a point we take
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/01 - 11:19 PM
Nice birthday pressies
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/01 - 11:20 PM
 
 
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