Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:09:28 PM (gmt)
 
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Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC                         HALIFAX TOWN AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo Dury               10    0   10     Gk Ethan Flynn            13    1   14
Sw Ethan Maire             5    2    7     Df Tom Duffy              10    1   11
Df Nicolas Gonzalez       10    1   11     Df Coll Whyte             10    2   12
Df Albert Goodwin          6    2    8     Mf Mark Shaw               8    1    9
Df Zak Strachan            2    2    4     Df Jake Gallaher           6    2    8
Df Ye Zhou                 2    2    4     Mf Gareth Gascoigne       13    1   14
Mf Albert Vazquez          8    1    9     Mf Darragh Calhoun         9    1   10
Mf Patrick Torres          6    2    8     Mf Ze'ev Yitzchak          5    2    7
Mf Louis Ferdinand         2    2    4     Mf Adam Davies             2    2    4
Fw Reece Reid              6    2    8     Fw Alexander Fraser        7   -1    6
Fw Young Soo Shin          2    2    4     Fw Jakob Schmitt           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  7 27 21 12        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 31 44 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  2  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  7 32 23 12         T O T A L S       14  0 31 44 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.3 (no red card)

Sw Ethan Maire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.87 (no red card)

Df Nicolas Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.14 (no red card)

Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.88 (no red card)

Df Zak Strachan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.71 (no red card)

Df Ye Zhou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.82 (no red card)

Mf Albert Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.29 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.28 (no red card)

Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.08 (no red card)

Fw Reece Reid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.95 (no red card)

Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.17 (no red card)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.02 (no red card)

Df Tom Duffy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.7 (no red card)

Df Coll Whyte: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.2 (no red card)

Mf Mark Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.45 (no red card)

Df Jake Gallaher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.92 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.48 (no red card)

Mf Darragh Calhoun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.69 (no red card)

Mf Ze'ev Yitzchak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.92 (no red card)

Mf Adam Davies: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.2 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.89 (no red card)

Fw Jakob Schmitt: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 92.86 (no injury) 
Sw Ethan Maire: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.53 (no injury) 
Df Nicolas Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.4 (no injury) 
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.49 (no injury) 
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.23 (no injury) 
Df Ye Zhou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.26 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Vazquez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.32 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.05 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.19 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Reid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.28 (no injury) 
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.82 (no injury) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 34.81 (no injury) 
Df Tom Duffy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.65 (no injury) 
Df Coll Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.17 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.76 (no injury) 
Df Jake Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.75 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.09 (no injury) 
Mf Darragh Calhoun: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.28 (no injury) 
Mf Ze'ev Yitzchak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.12 (no injury) 
Mf Adam Davies: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.36 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.72 (no injury) 
Fw Jakob Schmitt: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.53 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nicolas Gonzalez SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Flynn SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gareth Gascoigne SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 10

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       10   7  32  23  12
  Halifax Town AFC         14   0  31  44  15

Halifax Town AFC is using Offside Trap!
Shepshed Dynamo FC is Playing For A Draw!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 31)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 3 ((32 - 15) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Nicolas Gonzalez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Albert Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Albert Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         14   0  31  44  15
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       10   7  32  23  12

Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 32)
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 11 ((44 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 12) / 5); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Coll Whyte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Tom Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Tom Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Tom Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Gareth Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Mark Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 70.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Mark Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Darragh Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Gareth Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ze'ev Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 52.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Adam Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Gareth Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 0.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Gareth Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Mark Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Darragh Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 97.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 0  -  HALIFAX TOWN AFC 2
 
Match Notes
Both teams thru and playing for seeding.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/25 - 10:33 PM
 
 
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