Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:05:29 PM (gmt)
 
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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         AFC FYLDE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney            11    0   11     Gk James MacLeod          13    0   13
Sw Reece Hamilton          7    0    7     Sw Rhys Porter            12    0   12
Df Nathan Doyle           13    0   13     Df Jeff Hughes            13    0   13
Df Luke Sinclair          10    0   10     Df Ryan Lasserre          13    0   13
Mf Ian Hanny               9    0    9     Df Matheo Seguin          10    0   10
Mf Evan Jones              9    0    9     Mf Young Ja  Shin         13    0   13
Mf Marty Nicholls          7    0    7     Mf James Gallaher         13    0   13
Fw Vladimir Popov          8    0    8     Mf Euan Barclay           10    0   10
Fw Calum Kelly             7    0    7     Mf Wes Lambert            10    0   10
Fw James St.Hubbins        6    0    6     Fw Rodrigo Carvalho       11    0   11
Fw Francesco Rinaldi       6    0    6     Fw Ellis Boddington       14    0   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  7 23 25 27        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 36 46 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  7 23 25 36         T O T A L S       13 12 36 46 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.37 (no red card)

Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.65 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.29 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.98 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.6 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.21 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.0 (no red card)

Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.81 (no red card)

Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.32 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.35 (no red card)

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.59 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.62 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.92 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.89 (no red card)

Mf Young Ja  Shin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.02 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.56 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.83 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.48 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.19 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.67 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.63 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.23 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.16 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.77 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.61 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.05 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.93 (no injury) 
Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.19 (no injury) 
Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.02 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.9 (no injury) 

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.98 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.32 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.83 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.43 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.65 (no injury) 
Mf Young Ja  Shin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.22 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.32 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.85 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.62 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.4 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Doyle SL 13
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 13

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ellis Boddington SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 11

     intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       11   7  23  25  36
  AFC Fylde                13  12  36  46  25

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 36)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                13  12  36  46  25
  Chippenham Town FC       11   7  23  25  36

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 2 (25 - 23); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 11 ((46 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 22.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 13.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 91.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 15.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  AFC FYLDE 1
 
Match Notes
Don't even think home advantage can help much here!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 05/13 - 1:30 PM
It's a long road, but you have to start somewhere.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 05/24 - 12:22 AM
Much as expected, but at least we kept it respectable!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 05/25 - 8:20 PM
 
 
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