(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
FA Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Robert Morgan 14 0 14 Gk Denis Martin 13 0 13
Sw Douglas Pereira 12 0 12 Df Steven Gascoigne 13 0 13
Df Luca Herrmann 17 0 17 Df Melvin Bergman 8 0 8
Df Benjamin Richman 8 0 8 Df Finlay Butcher 5 2 7
Mf Jonas Koch 14 0 14 Mf Cristobal Benitez 13 0 13
Mf Thomas Williams 10 0 10 Mf Simon Fischer 17 0 17
Fw Samuel Rose 13 0 13 Mf Owen MacLean 5 2 7
Fw Nils Pettersson 13 0 13 Mf Kian Sansom 5 2 7
Fw Greg Scott 13 0 13 Fw Ben Byrne 13 0 13
Fw Lorenzo Santana 13 0 13 Fw Noah Schäfer 10 0 10
Fw Arran Fergus 10 0 10 Fw Harley Dowson 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14 12 25 24 62 ROSTER TOTALS 13 0 28 44 30
0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 13 25 24 71 T O T A L S 13 0 28 44 30
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.66 (no red card)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.46 (no red card)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.88 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.22 (no second yellow)
Df Benjamin Richman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.63 (no red card)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.67 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.38 (no red card)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.15 (no red card)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.49 (no red card)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.3 (no red card)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.19 (no red card)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.34 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.35 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.14 (no red card)
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.92 (no red card)
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.43 (no red card)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.72 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.68 (no red card)
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.28 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.85 (no second yellow)
Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.5 (no red card)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.34 (no red card)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.57 (no red card)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.05 (no red card)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.38 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 14.95 (no injury)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.33 (no injury)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.19 (no injury)
Df Benjamin Richman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.15 (no injury)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.72 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.54 (no injury)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.41 (no injury)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.85 (no injury)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.65 (no injury)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.08 (no injury)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.17 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 16.14 (no injury)
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.34 (no injury)
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.88 (no injury)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.75 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.24 (no injury)
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.52 (no injury)
Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.63 (no injury)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.58 (no injury)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.74 (no injury)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.79 (no injury)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.98 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 17
- Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 13
intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 14 13 25 24 71
FC United of Manchester 13 0 28 44 30
FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 22 (71 - 28) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 44) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 30) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 39.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 29.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 59.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 3.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 73.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 13 0 28 44 30
Welling United FC 14 13 25 24 71
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 5 (30 - 25); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 10 ((44 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 71) / 5; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 74.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 32.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 3 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 3
Match Notes
Oh so these coaches have to play against each other in non-AP Cup draws too? Again that seems unfair. I blame Ian...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/22 - 1:16 AM
Kevin did win 2 of the last 3 matches.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/23 - 8:20 PM
And I do not blaim Ian. Someone else comes to my mind, though.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/23 - 8:21 PM
It's Kevin I feel sorry for
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/24 - 12:25 PM
a match of two master tacticians.
Rob (Boston United) 05/24 - 3:54 PM
That played out better than expected!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 05/27 - 4:29 PM
That played out much worse than expectable!
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/30 - 8:03 PM