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Saturday, April 26th, 2025 - 08:19:51 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            12    0   12     Gk Dominic Lloyd          14    0   14
Df Thomas McIntyre        13    0   13     Sw Harry Stewart          12    0   12
Df Mason Shaw             10    0   10     Df Lucas Hill             12    0   12
Df Cliff Trickelbank       5    2    7     Df Theo Rowe               5    2    7
Df Evan Burke              5    2    7     Mf Roger Flinders         11    0   11
Mf Mons Nygård            12    0   12     Mf Arsenio  Pérez          5    2    7
Mf Ryan White             10    0   10     Fw Cong Li                14    0   14
Mf Lewis Coppell          10    0   10     Fw Philipp Wagner         10    0   10
Mf Ryan Ludley             5    2    7     Fw Kyle Bate              13    0   13
Fw Agustin Martínez       13    0   13     Fw Riley Newton            5    2    7
Fw Raphaël Soulie          5    2    7     Fw Giles Lindsay           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 37 39 20        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 19 18 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 37 48 20         T O T A L S       14 12 19 18 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.91 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.16 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.07 (no second yellow)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.1 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.43 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.68 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.24 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.42 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.12 (no second yellow)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.28 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.71 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.2 (no red card)

Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.63 (no red card)

Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.98 (no red card)

Df Theo Rowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.89 (no red card)

Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.14 (no second yellow)

Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.08 (no red card)

Fw Cong Li: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.12 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.45 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.25 (no red card)

Fw Riley Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.89 (no red card)

Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.05 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 78.59 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.04 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.69 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.28 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.09 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.19 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.39 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.08 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.93 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.47 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.26 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.85 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.97 (no injury) 
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.34 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.79 (no injury) 
Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.26 (no injury) 
Fw Cong Li: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.51 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.07 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Kyle Bate is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kyle Bate new match skill level =  7
      Kyle Bate new match total level =  7
Fw Riley Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.06 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.22 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas McIntyre SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Dominic Lloyd SL 14

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cong Li SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 12

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   12   0  37  48  20
  Kendal Town FC           14  12  19  18  45

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 1 (20 - 19); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((48 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 46.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 13.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           14  12  19  18  45
  Swindon Supermarine FC   12   0  37  48  20

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (45 - 37); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 20) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 23.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 34.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
John and Ian competed in real, live soccer in Wisconsin in 1999...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/04 - 1:40 AM
Is “competed” really an accurate description?
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/04 - 3:53 AM
A difficult start to the season, as we once again face MSWL's most successful lawyer.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 01/04 - 2:43 PM
MSWL's most successful lawyer wuz robbed...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/06 - 12:38 AM
Ha! Yes DD. John was in decent shape and Ian was like 18 at the time. Now if we said "Al Sellers competed" then sure, it sounds a little ludicrous...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/06 - 12:39 AM
 
 
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