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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         13    0   13     Gk Diego Forlán            8    0    8
Df Ben Lawrence           12    0   12     Df Earl Kelly             13    0   13
Df Trevor Harewood        10    0   10     Df Trevor Cockham         10    0   10
Df Benjamin Newton        10    0   10     Df Algenon Webster        10    0   10
Sw Gabriel Williams        3    2    5     Df Leo Bergström          10    0   10
Mf Michael Möller         10    0   10     Mf Joe Barrett            13    0   13
Mf Luis Schmidt           10    0   10     Mf Reuben Byrne           13    0   13
Mf Lewis Smith             6    0    6     Mf Bailey Oakes            2    2    4
Fw William Torres         10    0   10     Fw Liam Thwaite           13    0   13
Fw Braulio  Salas         13    0   13     Fw Paul Millot            10    0   10
Fw Hans Fischer            7    0    7     Fw Jens Kristensen         2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  5 32 26 30        ROSTER TOTALS       8  0 43 30 27    
       3  0  0  0  7          HARDNESS          3  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  5 32 26 46         T O T A L S       11  0 51 30 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 30.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 38.29 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 67.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 1.22 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ben Lawrence new match skill level =  6
      Ben Lawrence new match total level =  6

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 29.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 53.87 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 84.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 10.44 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 20.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 3.96 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 56.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 63.78 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 99.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 51.44 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 91.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 3.08 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Lewis Smith new match skill level =  3
      Lewis Smith new match total level =  3

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 99.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 31.02 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 73.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 2.31 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Braulio  Salas new match skill level =  7
      Braulio  Salas new match total level =  7

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 52.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 71.23 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 87.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 37.59 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 81.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 46.78 (no red card)

Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 82.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 76.68 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 20.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 10.02 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 11.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 51.51 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 88.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 73.62 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 98.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.46 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 71.32 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 82.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 59.23 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 59.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 87.24 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 74.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 24.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 8.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.0%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.25 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 42.41 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 32.93 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 87.96 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 87.48 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 82.5 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 61.15 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 12.29 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 24.09 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 84.23 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 79.13 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 11.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 16.59 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 19.94 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 71.31 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 54.52 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 39.38 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 11.37 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 24.33 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 87.1 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 86.39 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 46.69 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 69.43 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Trevor Harewood SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Earl Kelly SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 67 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 96 (pk blocked)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16   5  26  23  40
  Tonbridge Angels         11   0  51  30  27

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 51)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 0


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         11   0  51  30  27
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16   5  26  23  40

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 1 (27 - 26) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 2 ((51 - 40) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 67.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 38.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2
 
Match Notes
Ugh! We've never beaten Andy's Angels in an FA Cup match. Looks like an easy dismissal of our poor Beavers by Tonbridge today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 12/28 - 10:24 PM
I doubt it Al but will give it a good go.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 12/30 - 1:41 PM
As expected an easy 2-nil win for the Angels. Well done Andy!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/04 - 7:07 PM
Al that’s impressive. Three penalties conceded and three sending offs. Must be a record!
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/04 - 7:27 PM
 
 
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