(H)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
FA Cup Round 1 Replay
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLTON TOWN FC HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Benjamin Guery 13 1 14 Gk Erik Holm 12 1 13
Df Chris Howard 14 0 14 Sw Shane Sweeney 11 1 12
Df Murray Taylor 11 0 11 Df Gabriel Williams 12 0 12
Df Francis Martin 10 1 11 Df Fernando Silva 16 2 18
Df Jeff Charlton 9 -2 7 Df Nathan Meldrum 6 2 8
Mf Liam Dixon 12 0 12 Mf Gregor Millar 13 2 15
Mf Alexander Daly 10 1 11 Mf Cliff Gerrard 10 1 11
Mf Alistair Carr 10 1 11 Mf Benjamin Healy 10 1 11
Mf Federico Gentile 9 0 9 Fw Ian Hunter 12 2 14
Fw Sveinur Hansen 15 0 15 Fw Leonardo Delgado 10 1 11
Fw Trevor Hanny 10 2 12 Fw John MacDonald 10 1 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 0 43 43 27 ROSTER TOTALS 13 12 38 37 36
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 3 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 0 43 52 30 T O T A L S 13 12 38 37 36
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.39 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.7 (no red card)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.05 (no red card)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.79 (no red card)
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.38 (no red card)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.3 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.93 (no red card)
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.89 (no red card)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.01 (no red card)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.08 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.09 (no second yellow)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.22 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.92 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.67 (no red card)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.98 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.87 (no second yellow)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.8 (no red card)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.79 (no red card)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.64 (no red card)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.89 (no red card)
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.13 (no red card)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.5 (no red card)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.96 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.78 (no red card)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.25 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.74 (no injury)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.99 (no injury)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.05 (no injury)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.91 (no injury)
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.83 (no injury)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.11 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.9 (no injury)
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.88 (no injury)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.67 (no injury)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.54 (no injury)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.74 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 91.43 (no injury)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.99 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.8 (no injury)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.79 (no injury)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.32 (no injury)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.13 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.13 (no injury)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.6 (no injury)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.54 (no injury)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.09 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sveinur Hansen SL 15
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 12
intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
- Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 13
intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 14 0 43 52 30
Harrogate Railway AFC 13 12 38 37 36
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 38)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((52 - 37) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((43 - 36) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 91.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Alistair Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Alistair Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 13 12 38 37 36
Carlton Town FC 14 0 43 52 30
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 43)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 52) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((38 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Fernando Silva
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Fernando Silva
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Fernando Silva
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLTON TOWN FC 1 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
Match Notes
Two fine establishments in the FA Cup. One of them might even turn up ready to play.
Olmec Head Tim (Goole AFC) 05/09 - 3:30 PM
Carlton outplayed us today. Well done Mike!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/16 - 7:09 PM
It was awful to have to play you for the third time in two sessions, but glad we squeaked it out. Good match, Al!
Mike (Carlton Town FC) 05/16 - 9:22 PM
The Commish exits the FA Cup via a single goal. Somewhere, a trophy cabinet remains exactly as empty as before. The mathematics of elimination are, at least, refreshingly simple.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/17 - 12:13 AM