Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:43:25 PM (gmt)
 
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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Burton Albion FC
James White
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         BURTON ALBION FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney            11    0   11     Gk Wim Cryuff             15    2   17
Sw Simon Howells           4    0    4     Sw Rendor Veres           12    2   14
Df Jan Beerman             7    0    7     Df Christopher McLachlan  10    2   12
Df Bryan Price             6    2    8     Df Valentin Peralta        6    2    8
Df Michael Schmidt         5    2    7     Mf Lior Tal               10    2   12
Df Diego Torres            3    2    5     Mf Francis Brakspear       6    1    7
Mf Luis Gonzalez           7    0    7     Fw Ben Frings             13    1   14
Mf David Kirk              5    2    7     Fw Oliver Bauer           13    1   14
Mf Tony Long               3    2    5     Fw Markus Laursen         10    2   12
Fw Calum Kelly             7    0    7     Fw Carsten Petersen       13    0   13
Fw Hans Frings             5    2    7     Fw Ian Lee                 3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  4 27 19 14        ROSTER TOTALS      17 14 20 19 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  4 36 26 14         T O T A L S       17 14 20 20 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.67 (no red card)

Sw Simon Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.63 (no red card)

Df Jan Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.26 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.61 (no red card)

Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.31 (no red card)

Df Diego Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.35 (no second yellow)

Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.08 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.15 (no red card)

Mf Tony Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.14 (no red card)

Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.79 (no red card)

Fw Hans Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.01 (no red card)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.67 (no red card)

Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.95 (no red card)

Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.9 (no red card)

Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.84 (no red card)

Mf Lior Tal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.06 (no red card)

Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.47 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.11 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.24 (no red card)

Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card)

Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.58 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 27.13 (no injury) 
Sw Simon Howells: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.06 (no injury) 
Df Jan Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.2 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.47 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.04 (no injury) 
Df Diego Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.43 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.17 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.86 (no injury) 
Mf Tony Long: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.54 (no injury) 
Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.52 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Frings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.05 (no injury) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 35.54 (no injury) 
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.81 (no injury) 
Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.21 (no injury) 
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.01 (no injury) 
Mf Lior Tal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.06 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.21 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.49 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.51 (no injury) 
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.18 (no injury) 
Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.04 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jan Beerman SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 48% | Random number = 41 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Frings SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 11

     intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       11   4  36  26  14
  Burton Albion FC         17  14  20  20  58

Chippenham Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 20)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Luis Gonzalez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf David Kirk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         17  14  20  20  58
  Chippenham Town FC       11   4  36  26  14

Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 22 (58 - 36); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 2 ((20 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Christopher McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 49.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Valentin Peralta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 17.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 55.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 89.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 15.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 40.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 47.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 47.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 60.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 32.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 73.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 1  -  BURTON ALBION FC 2
 
Match Notes
Even home advantage cannot mask the gulf in class here!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 06/01 - 9:31 PM
A shock was on the cards, then it was cruelly snatched away!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 06/07 - 7:31 PM
 
 
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