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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes           6    2    8     Gk Joe Cameron             5    0    5
Sw Jamie Johnson          10    0   10     Df Tihamér Pap             8    1    9
Df Fabian Schulz           9    2   11     Df Ryan Richardson         6    1    7
Df Thomás Lebre            6    2    8     Df Finlay Cooke            5    0    5
Mf Victor Shepard          6    2    8     Df Niall Dunn              3    2    5
Mf David Perry             3    2    5     Mf Adi Peretz              6    1    7
Mf Nathan Dean             3    2    5     Mf Bailey Hills            6    0    6
Fw William Johnson        13    0   13     Mf Giles Hanny             4    2    6
Fw Facundo Bruno          11    0   11     Fw Reuben Dowson           8    0    8
Fw Nathan Phillips         6    2    8     Fw Cristobal Saez         10    0   10
Fw Philipp Hoffmann        3    0    3     Fw Alexander Murphy        2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8 10 19 18 35        ROSTER TOTALS       5  0 26 19 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  2  2    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8 10 28 18 35         T O T A L S        5  0 28 21 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.0 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.49 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.84 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.92 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.19 (no red card)

Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.73 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.56 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.28 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.63 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.78 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.1 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.5 (no red card)

Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 88.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 2.96 (no red card)

Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 64.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 34.25 (no red card)

Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 68.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 24.02 (no red card)

Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 37.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 29.17 (no red card)

Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 51.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 57.9 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 72.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 7.46 (no red card)

Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 24.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 44.98 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 14.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 45.4 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 1.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 40.93 (no second yellow)

Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 17.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 8.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.05 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 32.21 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 62.3 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 65.35 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 95.19 (no injury) 
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 12.06 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 32.29 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 34.05 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 77.98 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 27.46 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 69.82 (no injury) 

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 2.22 (no injury) 
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.41 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.18 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.2 (no injury) 
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.2 (no injury) 
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.54 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.88 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.37 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.9 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.57 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: William Johnson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 6

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            8  10  28  18  35
  Marine FC                5   0  28  21  24

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (35 - 28); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 83.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 87.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 97.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 11.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 77.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                5   0  28  21  24
  Luton Town FC            8  10  28  18  35

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 28)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((21 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Bailey Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Giles Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 4  -  MARINE FC 0
 
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