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Saturday, April 26th, 2025 - 08:17:29 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         16    2   18     Gk Gareth Green           11    2   13
Sw Fortunato  Torres      13    2   15     Df Gonzalo Sanz           12    1   13
Df Ben Lawrence           12    2   14     Df Marty Hunter           10    2   12
Df Aidan O'Neil           11    0   11     Df Theo Rowe               6    2    8
Df Trevor Harewood        10    2   12     Mf çngel Gabriel Martínez 12    2   14
Mf Michael Möller         10    2   12     Mf Emile Lane             12    2   14
Mf Luis Schmidt           10    1   11     Mf Arsenio  Pérez          6    2    8
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      10    1   11     Fw Jermaine Rogers        13    1   14
Fw Cooper Smith           13    2   15     Fw Philipp Wagner         10    2   12
Fw Braulio  Salas         14    2   16     Fw Giles Lindsay           7    2    9
Fw William Torres         10    2   12     Fw Algernon James          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 37 34 43        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 33 36 40    
       3  3  0  0  4          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 18 37 34 56         T O T A L S       16  0 33 36 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 25.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 40.58 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 47.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 43.69 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 25.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 34.77 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 9.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 62.67 (no second yellow)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 71.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 30.35 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 79.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 42.66 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 4.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 76.58 (no second yellow)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 3.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 44.39 (no second yellow)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 13.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 35.07 (no second yellow)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 69.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 81.13 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 33.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 55.13 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 90.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 72.22 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 17.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.49 (no red card)

Df Marty Hunter: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 91.35 (no red card)

Df Theo Rowe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 80.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.31 (no red card)

Mf çngel Gabriel Martínez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 14.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.1 (no red card)

Mf Emile Lane: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 31.81 (no red card)

Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 32.52 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 38.75 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 34.67 (no second yellow)

Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 92.83 (no red card)

Fw Algernon James: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 79.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.62%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 3.62% | Random number = 64.58 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 2.01 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Fortunato  Torres is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 37.19 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 4.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Aidan O'Neil is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 86.73 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 66.27 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 25.34 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 85.35 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 35.32 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 10.94 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 26.23 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.37%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 5.37% | Random number = 84.64 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 64.0 (no injury) 
Df Marty Hunter: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 65.54 (no injury) 
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 6.92 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Theo Rowe is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Theo Rowe new match skill level =  3
      Theo Rowe new match total level =  5
Mf çngel Gabriel Martínez: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 36.88 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Lane: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 46.38 (no injury) 
Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 54.1 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 85.12 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 36.33 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 66.69 (no injury) 
Fw Algernon James: Chance of injury = 10.75% | Random number = 68.71 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Braulio  Salas SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 12 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jermaine Rogers SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21  18  37  34  56
  Kendal Town FC           16   0  30  36  40

Kendal Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 13 (56 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 52.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 16.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 76.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 2.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 1.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 18.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           16   0  30  36  40
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21  18  37  34  56

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 3 (40 - 37); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((36 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 56) / 5;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Emile Lane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 98.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 4  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
One assumes coach Sellers will have reconsidered his 10 hardness approach, following recent disasters 🤔
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 01/18 - 7:34 PM
Tough matchup today against MSWL U2's top fan of Oasis...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/25 - 12:27 PM
That's a great call out my friend. Sadly, (and somehow I found the cheat code), we'll be putting 20 hardness on the pitch today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/25 - 12:28 PM
 
 
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