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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes           7    2    9     Gk Robert Morgan          14    2   16
Mf Fabian Schulz           7    2    9     Sw Douglas Pereira        16    2   18
Df Louis Turner            8    2   10     Df Luca Herrmann          14    2   16
Df Harvey Marshall         7    2    9     Df Louie Ince             14    1   15
Df Thomás Lebre            6    2    8     Fw Jonas Koch             13    2   15
Df Reis  Golan             3    2    5     Mf Leon Baumann           14    2   16
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon          7    0    7     Mf Eoghan Carroll         13    2   15
Fw Knut Strøm              5    2    7     Fw Greg Scott             13    2   15
Mf David Perry             3    2    5     Fw Lorenzo Santana        13    2   15
Mf Nathan Dean             3    2    5     Fw Samuel Rose            11    2   13
Fw Philipp Hoffmann        3    0    3     Fw Arran Fergus            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 32 26 10        ROSTER TOTALS      16 18 31 31 67    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 32 26 19         T O T A L S       16 19 31 31 67    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.3 (no red card)

Mf Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.08 (no red card)

Df Louis Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.45 (no red card)

Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.12 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.57 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.13 (no second yellow)

Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.05 (no red card)

Fw Knut Strøm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.91 (no red card)

Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.22 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.56 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Nathan Dean new match skill level =  2
      Nathan Dean new match total level =  4

Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.66 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.1 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.72 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.83 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.33 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.72 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.13 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.58 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.64 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.05 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.07 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.38 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 74.5 (no injury) 
Mf Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.67 (no injury) 
Df Louis Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.18 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.92 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.66 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.62 (no injury) 
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.17 (no injury) 
Fw Knut Strøm: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.82 (no injury) 
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.38 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.92 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.98 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 95.9 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.27 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.52 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.03 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.54 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.7 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.73 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.05 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.52 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.59 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.29 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louis Turner SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 7

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            9   0  32  25  19
  Welling United FC        16  19  31  31  67

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 31)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 67) / 5;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        16  19  31  31  67
  Luton Town FC            9   0  32  25  19

Luton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 18 (67 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((31 - 25) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 3.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 51.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 20.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 23.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 17.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 17.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 24.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 50.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 52.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 68.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 10.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 27.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 58.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 48.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 0  -  WELLING UNITED FC 2
 
Match Notes
The Curse of Eduard invades!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/25 - 1:46 PM
 
 
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