(H)
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 3
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
TONBRIDGE ANGELS HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Elias Jönsson 12 1 13 Gk Erik Holm 13 1 14
Sw Ismael Romero 6 2 8 Sw Vegar Aas 11 0 11
Df Ciaran Healy 13 1 14 Df Freddy Arboleda 13 2 15
Df Jose Ortiz 11 0 11 Df Henry Martin 11 1 12
Df Mathias Sørensen 10 1 11 Df Nathan Meldrum 6 2 8
Df Stan Thompson 6 2 8 Df Kund Gáspár 3 2 5
Mf Sean Long 12 1 13 Mf Andy Watson 7 1 8
Mf Lok Lín 6 1 7 Mf Ross Browne 6 2 8
Fw Michael Turner 16 0 16 Mf Nuno Eiras 3 2 5
Fw Daniel Barbosa 12 1 13 Fw Conor Thompson 9 -1 8
Fw Hayden Marshall 6 2 8 Fw Lee Collins 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 8 44 20 37 ROSTER TOTALS 14 11 40 21 16
0 2 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 6 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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13 10 44 26 40 T O T A L S 14 11 40 21 16
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.77 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.72 (no red card)
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.56 (no red card)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.75 (no red card)
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.69 (no red card)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.67 (no red card)
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.85 (no red card)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.68 (no red card)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.6 (no red card)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.67 (no red card)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.7 (no red card)
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.04 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.79 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.55 (no red card)
Sw Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.45 (no red card)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.93 (no red card)
Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.9 (no red card)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.01 (no red card)
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.65 (no red card)
Mf Andy Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.48 (no red card)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.8 (no red card)
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.29 (no red card)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.79 (no red card)
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.08 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 3.28 (no injury)
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.12 (no injury)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.55 (no injury)
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.41 (no injury)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.93 (no injury)
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.66 (no injury)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.41 (no injury)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.43 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.37 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.49 (no injury)
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.38 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 41.56 (no injury)
Sw Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.03 (no injury)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.0 (no injury)
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.67 (no injury)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.45 (no injury)
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.61 (no injury)
Mf Andy Watson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.58 (no injury)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.13 (no injury)
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.46 (no injury)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.25 (no injury)
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.94 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 13
intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Freddy Arboleda SL 13
- Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 13 10 44 26 40
Harrogate Railway AFC 14 11 40 21 16
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 40)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 10 ((44 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Df Stan Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 36.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 77.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Jose Ortiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Jose Ortiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Df Jose Ortiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Lok Lín
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 14 11 40 21 16
Tonbridge Angels 13 10 44 26 40
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 44)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 40) / 3; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
Match Notes
Shaw wants it tight. The Commish wants a result. The ball wants nothing, because it is a ball. Kickoff approaches regardless.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/17 - 12:13 AM
After picking up just one point from the opening two matches we need a win.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/18 - 3:17 PM
Andy Shaw said keep it tight and win one nil. The universe, indifferent as ever, complied. The Commish will have opinions about this, I imagine.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/23 - 7:30 PM
We hoped to sneak a draw, but the barrage of shots from the Angels would not be denied. Well played Andy!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/23 - 8:10 PM
An important three points our first league win.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/27 - 5:22 PM