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Friday, April 25th, 2025 - 05:44:25 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
AP Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          16    2   18     Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17
Sw Douglas Pereira        16    2   18     Sw Denis Pearce           10    2   12
Df Luca Herrmann          14    2   16     Df William Munro          13    2   15
Df Louie Ince             14    1   15     Df Michio Mori            13    1   14
Mf Jonas Koch             16    2   18     Df Cathal O'Brien         10    0   10
Mf Thomas Williams        14    2   16     Df Jack Brennan           10    1   11
Fw Samuel Rose            14    2   16     Mf Liam Cox               19    1   20
Fw Greg Scott             14    2   16     Mf Danny Monkhouse        13    2   15
Fw Nils Pettersson        13    2   15     Mf Ryan Welbeck           12    2   14
Fw Lorenzo Santana        13    2   15     Fw Antonio Leon           14    1   15
Fw Allan Burns            11    2   13     Fw Matthew Peverell       13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 31 34 75        ROSTER TOTALS      17 12 50 49 30    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 18 31 34 87         T O T A L S       20 12 50 49 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.71 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.81 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.71 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.49 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.44 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.9 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.71 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.98 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.65 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.72 (no second yellow)

Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.46 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.12 (no red card)

Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.36 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.3 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.43 (no red card)

Df Cathal O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.47 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.47 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.43 (no red card)

Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.22 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.76 (no second yellow)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 65.69 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.95 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.02 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.61 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.28 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.1 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.39 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.51 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.73 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.85 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.08 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Allan Burns is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Allan Burns new match skill level =  6
      Allan Burns new match total level =  8

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 89.14 (no injury) 
Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.64 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.74 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.03 (no injury) 
Df Cathal O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.42 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.64 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.84 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.0 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.58 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.91 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonas Koch SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        21  18  31  34  82
  Kingstonian FC           20  12  50  49  30

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 32 (82 - 50); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((31 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 22.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 44.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 44.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 47.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 33.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 29.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           20  12  50  49  30
  Welling United FC        21  18  31  34  82

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 31)
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((49 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 82) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 72.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ryan Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 35.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Ryan Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 3  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Welling. Ugh.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/15 - 5:08 PM
Wow welling look good
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/15 - 7:08 PM
Big win for Eduard
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/15 - 9:37 PM
We basically had no hope.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/16 - 2:07 AM
KIN's recent record vs WEL is surely better than most
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 6:03 PM
I don't mind winning for once, though
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 6:03 PM
A mere 87 at Fw for Eduard. Almost like he was toying with Jason
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/18 - 5:47 PM
 
 
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