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Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MARINE FC                                  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk George Lindsay          4    2    6     Gk Florian De Vos         14    2   16
Sw Alfredo  Herrera        5    1    6     Sw Shane Sweeney           4    2    6
Df Ryan Richardson         8    0    8     Df Freddy Arboleda         8    2   10
Df Afonso Gomes            6    2    8     Df Vegar Aas               8    2   10
Df Andres Bianchi          2    2    4     Df James Hays              4    2    6
Mf Andrea Marino          11   -1   10     Mf Benjamin Healy         13    2   15
Mf Rory MacDonald          6    2    8     Mf Cliff Gerrard           4    2    6
Mf Miksa Kelemen           2    2    4     Fw Luke Cockburn          15    1   16
Fw Alexander Murphy        6   -2    4     Fw Justin Neumann          8    2   10
Fw Cristobal Saez          5    2    7     Fw John MacDonald          4    2    6
Fw Liam McColl             3    2    5     Fw Leonardo Delgado        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       6  6 20 22 16        ROSTER TOTALS      16  6 26 21 38    
       0  0  2  2  3          HARDNESS          0  3  1  0  6    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       6  6 22 24 19         T O T A L S       19  9 27 21 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 7
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.83 (no red card)

Sw Alfredo  Herrera: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 78.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 36.06 (no red card)

Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 38.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 41.25 (no red card)

Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 25.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 12.46 (no red card)

Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 71.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 39.4 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 39.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 19.82 (no red card)

Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 63.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 3.56 (no red card)

Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 77.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 29.99 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 4.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 82.6 (no second yellow)

Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 78.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 65.62 (no red card)

Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 43.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 70.62 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.25 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 50.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 79.92 (no red card)

Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 25.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 69.28 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 24.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 81.5 (no red card)

Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 98.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 12.84 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 3.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 33.54 (no second yellow)

Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 64.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 34.73 (no red card)

Fw Luke Cockburn: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 7.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 41.3 (no second yellow)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 66.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 27.14 (no red card)

Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 75.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 24.91 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 89.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 34.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 7
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 11.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.87%
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of injury = 5.87% | Random number = 89.59 (no injury) 
Sw Alfredo  Herrera: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 70.38 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 33.28 (no injury) 
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 16.4 (no injury) 
Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 27.23 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 27.65 (no injury) 
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 87.18 (no injury) 
Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 55.27 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 69.75 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 58.43 (no injury) 
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 11.75% | Random number = 39.59 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 7
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 69.61 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 68.95 (no injury) 
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 60.67 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 88.92 (no injury) 
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 98.16 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 94.52 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 81.62 (no injury) 
Fw Luke Cockburn: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 54.08 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 0.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Justin Neumann is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Justin Neumann new match skill level =  4
      Justin Neumann new match total level =  6
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 71.89 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 43.1 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Andrea Marino SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 19 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 24 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Luke Cockburn SL 15
   - Defending Gk: George Lindsay SL 4

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 61 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                6   6  22  24  19
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19   9  27  21  40

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 27)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Rory MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 31.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Andrea Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19   9  27  21  40
  Marine FC                6   6  22  24  19

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 18 (40 - 22); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((27 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 14.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 88.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 15.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 16.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 57.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 77.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 0.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 58.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 23.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MARINE FC 2  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 5
 
Match Notes
Mercy....could we have our first match with 20 hardness?
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/02 - 12:49 PM
Sorry Dave, only 17! Fortunate to advance against the tough Marine team today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/05 - 7:08 PM
 
 
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