Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:04:47 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          14    1   15     Gk Matty Moore            15    1   16
Sw Douglas Pereira        12    1   13     Sw Aarron Lowe            14    1   15
Df Louie Ince             11    0   11     Df Alejandro García       13    1   14
Df Amine Monteil           6    1    7     Df Louis Butler           12    0   12
Df Leo Bergström           6    1    7     Df Ryan Barber             5    2    7
Mf Bernd Lang             10    1   11     Mf Isao Mori              15    1   16
Mf Leon Baumann           10    1   11     Mf Baron Fisher            5    2    7
Fw Samuel Rose            13    1   14     Fw Sheng Hé               13    1   14
Fw Greg Scott             13    1   14     Fw Marty Allen            13    1   14
Fw Allan Burns             7    1    8     Fw Carrington Bates       10    2   12
Fw Evan Gerrard            6    2    8     Fw Ben Butcher             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 13 25 22 44        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 33 23 47    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 25 22 53         T O T A L S       19 15 33 23 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.46 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.7 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.84 (no red card)

Df Amine Monteil: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.01 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.53 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.06 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.79 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.75 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.9 (no red card)

Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.88 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.62 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 55.11 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.46 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.05 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.95 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.94 (no red card)

Mf Isao Mori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.45 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.04 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.4 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.75 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.71 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.95 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 20.62 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.64 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no injury) 
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.93 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.71 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.7 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 70.9 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.74 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Samuel Rose is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Samuel Rose new match skill level =  7
      Samuel Rose new match total level =  8
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.4 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.9 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.6 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 59.04 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.02 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.65 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.67 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.94 (no injury) 
Mf Isao Mori: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 7.46 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.04 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.42 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.77 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.44 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.55 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Greg Scott SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Isao Mori SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        15  14  25  22  47
  AFC Wimbledon            19  15  33  23  47

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 14 (47 - 33); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 14.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 25.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 60.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 97.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 64.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            19  15  33  23  47
  Welling United FC        15  14  25  22  47

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 22 (47 - 25); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 84.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 1
 
Match Notes
these managers are overjoyed to be playing against each other again.....
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 05/30 - 9:18 AM
2 sessions and 2 matches against the top team……random my a$$
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/31 - 2:27 PM
Squandered too many opportunities here…..this will cost us
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/01 - 9:55 PM
 
 
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