(N)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
FA Cup Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan 16 2 18 Gk Leon Farrell 15 2 17
Sw Archie Milner 15 0 15 Df Steven Williams 13 2 15
Df Gordon Brown 17 2 19 Df Finlay Butcher 13 1 14
Df Devon Allen 13 2 15 Df Diego Acosta 12 1 13
Mf Evan Burns 16 2 18 Mf Finn McMillan 16 2 18
Mf Sylar Kelley 15 2 17 Mf Kian Sansom 14 0 14
Fw Lincoln Johnson 14 2 16 Mf Alexander Müller 13 2 15
Fw Marcos Azevedo 13 2 15 Mf Cristobal Benitez 16 2 18
Fw Evan Gerrard 13 2 15 Fw Harley Dowson 15 1 16
Fw Arran Fergus 13 2 15 Fw Luiz Correia 13 2 15
Fw William Murphy 12 2 14 Fw Noah Schäfer 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 15 34 35 75 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 42 65 46
0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 2 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
21 18 34 35 75 T O T A L S 20 0 42 65 46
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.95 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.17 (no red card)
Sw Archie Milner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.18 (no red card)
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.01 (no red card)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.16 (no red card)
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.95 (no red card)
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.72 (no red card)
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.13 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.15 (no second yellow)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.33 (no red card)
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.87 (no red card)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.25 (no red card)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.56 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.8 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.93 (no red card)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.17 (no red card)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.47 (no red card)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.24 (no red card)
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.12 (no red card)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.17 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.98 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.08 (no red card)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.32 (no red card)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.23 (no red card)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.62 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 75.9 (no injury)
Sw Archie Milner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.28 (no injury)
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.56 (no injury)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.71 (no injury)
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.01 (no injury)
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.69 (no injury)
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.6 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.89 (no injury)
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.95 (no injury)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.3 (no injury)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.27 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 46.1 (no injury)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.76 (no injury)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.71 (no injury)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.61 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Diego Acosta is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Diego Acosta new match skill level = 6
Diego Acosta new match total level = 7
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.85 (no injury)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.33 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Müller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.47 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.64 (no injury)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.91 (no injury)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.44 (no injury)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.52 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gordon Brown SL 17
- Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 15
intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Finn McMillan SL 16
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 21 18 34 35 75
FC United of Manchester 20 0 36 65 46
FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 20 (75 - 36) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 65) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 46) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw William Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 48.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw William Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 21.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw William Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 2.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 42.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 4.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw William Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw William Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 78.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 0.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 35.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 53.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 87.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 85.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
20: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 74.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 20 0 36 65 46
Welling United FC 21 18 34 35 75
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 12 (46 - 34); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 15 ((65 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 75) / 5; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Mf Alexander Müller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Alexander Müller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 29.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 26.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Alexander Müller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Alexander Müller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 34.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 30.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 2 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0
Match Notes
Habermann flies in from Düsseldorf and Kmart hasn't won anything significant since the age of monarchs. A neutral venue feels appropriate — neither side deserves the comfort of familiarity.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/20 - 7:31 PM
Looks like a classic!
Mike (Mossley AFC) 06/21 - 1:22 PM
Once more vs WEL's apparent bogey team
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/23 - 2:29 PM
Kevin has his work cut out to win this one but what do I know.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/27 - 12:03 PM
Welling advance. Kmart, who confesses to throwing matches as a strategic art form, has now been eliminated by someone who simply wanted to win one. The gap between philosophy and points is, as ever, measurable.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/27 - 7:30 PM
Out-chanced ‘em, at admittedly lower chance of scoring. Couldn’t crack Gk Morgan though. Congrats, Eduard!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/29 - 8:01 PM
The problem was that I didn't know in advance which match was FCU's OTF.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/30 - 9:42 PM