(N)

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral

Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC KENDAL TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 16 2 18 Gk Liam Honeybun 13 2 15
Df Thomás Lebre 13 2 15 Sw Daniel Lorimar 13 2 15
Df Frank Goodwin 4 2 6 Df Gonzalo Sanz 19 2 21
Df Marvin Krüger 2 2 4 Df Harley Heskey 9 2 11
Mf Nathan Dean 14 1 15 Df Bryan Martin 4 2 6
Mf Rhys Johnstone 4 2 6 Mf Algernon Harvey 9 2 11
Mf Harley Ritchie 4 2 6 Mf Francisco Reyes 4 2 6
Fw Corey Williams 8 0 8 Fw Marco Beerman 9 2 11
Fw Albin Hansson 8 2 10 Fw Oscar Williams 9 2 11
Fw Mika Neuville 8 2 10 Fw Gregg Smith 4 2 6
Fw Victor Jourdan 4 2 6 Fw André Ribeiro 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 0 25 27 34 ROSTER TOTALS 15 15 38 17 34
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 0 25 27 34 T O T A L S 18 15 38 17 34
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.33 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.78 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.55 (no red card)
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.8 (no red card)
Df Marvin Krüger: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.7 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.76 (no red card)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.43 (no red card)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.29 (no red card)
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.92 (no red card)
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.03 (no red card)
Fw Mika Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.48 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.47 (no second yellow)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.85 (no red card)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Liam Honeybun: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 79.6 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 81.64 (no red card)
Sw Daniel Lorimar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.46 (no red card)
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.57 (no red card)
Df Harley Heskey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.72 (no red card)
Df Bryan Martin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.98 (no red card)
Mf Algernon Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.15 (no red card)
Mf Francisco Reyes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.11 (no red card)
Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.99 (no red card)
Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.65 (no red card)
Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.77 (no red card)
Fw André Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.75 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.61 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 92.83 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.02 (no injury)
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.02 (no injury)
Df Marvin Krüger: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.96 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.18 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Nathan Dean is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.84 (no injury)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.56 (no injury)
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.19 (no injury)
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.28 (no injury)
Fw Mika Neuville: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.63 (no injury)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.86 (no injury)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Liam Honeybun: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 14.61 (no injury)
Sw Daniel Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.59 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Daniel Lorimar is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Daniel Lorimar new match skill level = 7
Daniel Lorimar new match total level = 9
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.74 (no injury)
Df Harley Heskey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.34 (no injury)
Df Bryan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.52 (no injury)
Mf Algernon Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.52 (no injury)
Mf Francisco Reyes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.09 (no injury)
Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.12 (no injury)
Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.65 (no injury)
Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.3 (no injury)
Fw André Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.46 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nathan Dean SL 14
- Defending Gk: Liam Honeybun SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gonzalo Sanz SL 19
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 16
intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 18 0 25 27 34
Kendal Town FC 18 9 38 17 34
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 38)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((27 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 34) / 5; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Kendal Town FC 18 9 38 17 34
Luton Town FC 18 0 25 27 34
Luton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (34 - 25) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((38 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Df Bryan Martin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Harley Heskey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 0 - KENDAL TOWN FC 1
Match Notes
Can luckys good fortunes prevail again today?
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/28 - 5:02 PM
At least Dave has moved on from "is Cong Li playing today"
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/28 - 6:52 PM

We assumed Cong was dead
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/28 - 7:27 PM