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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          17    2   19     Gk Archie Brakspear       14    2   16
Df Luca Herrmann          17    2   19     Df William Munro          13    1   14
Df Oscar Wood              7    2    9     Df Stephen Ard             8    2   10
Df Napoleon Bataille       3    2    5     Df David Verger            4    2    6
Mf Bernd Lang             14    2   16     Fw Liam Cox               18    0   18
Fw Gaëtan Picard           3    2    5     Mf Christopher Burroughs   8   -2    6
Mf Carr Ellingsen          3    2    5     Mf Mark Shah               5    2    7
Fw Marcos Azevedo          9    2   11     Mf Jake Bell               4    2    6
Fw Evan Gerrard            9    2   11     Fw Manuel  Jiménez         9    2   11
Fw William Murphy          4    2    6     Fw Marcelo Villalba        8    2   10
Fw Lincoln Johnson         4    2    6     Fw Luke McDonald           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 33 21 39        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 30 19 45    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  4  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 33 21 39         T O T A L S       19  0 34 19 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 89.43 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.21 (no red card)

Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.97 (no red card)

Df Napoleon Bataille: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.62 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.29 (no red card)

Fw Gaëtan Picard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.52 (no red card)

Mf Carr Ellingsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.71 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.56 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.11 (no red card)

Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.59 (no second yellow)

Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.12 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.84 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.19 (no red card)

Df Stephen Ard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.34 (no red card)

Df David Verger: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.81 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.48 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.96 (no red card)

Mf Mark Shah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.42 (no red card)

Mf Jake Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.85 (no red card)

Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.54 (no red card)

Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.88 (no red card)

Fw Luke McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 5.37 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.91 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.14 (no injury) 
Df Napoleon Bataille: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.3 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.35 (no injury) 
Fw Gaëtan Picard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.5 (no injury) 
Mf Carr Ellingsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.12 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.62 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.99 (no injury) 
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.54 (no injury) 
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.2 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 99.76 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.15 (no injury) 
Df Stephen Ard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.62 (no injury) 
Df David Verger: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.21 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.82 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.19 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Shah: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.7 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Bell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.68 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.36 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury) 
Fw Luke McDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.44 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 14

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        20   0  33  21  39
  Kingstonian FC           19   0  34  19  45

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 5 (39 - 34); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 9.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 44.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           19   0  34  19  45
  Welling United FC        20   0  33  21  39

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 6 (45 - 33) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 39) / 5;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 90.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 6.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 7.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 0  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Hello again - for the 5th time this season, and the 9th in the last two
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/05 - 7:40 PM
I guess it's good for both of us that we keep meeting in the Cups.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/12 - 1:55 AM
We haven't beaten Welling in our last six. It would be good to change that.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/12 - 1:56 AM
A minor miracle.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/12 - 7:43 PM
WEL is no YC team
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/18 - 6:49 PM
so it was just a very minor miracle
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/18 - 6:50 PM
Of course, QF is never a success - but halfways good enough
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/18 - 6:51 PM
It's better than 3/4 of the teams.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/19 - 4:19 PM
 
 
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