(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
AP Cup Final
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC KINGSTONIAN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 16 2 18 Gk Archie Brakspear 15 2 17
Sw Jamie Johnson 13 1 14 Df Stephen Ard 15 2 17
Df Philipp Koch 14 1 15 Df Martin Smith 11 2 13
Df Thomás Lebre 14 2 16 Df William Munro 10 2 12
Mf Victor Shepard 15 0 15 Mf Christopher Burroughs 13 2 15
Mf Nathan Dean 14 1 15 Mf Arturo Molina 13 2 15
Mf David Perry 13 2 15 Mf Ryan Welbeck 10 2 12
Fw Nathan Phillips 17 1 18 Mf Liam Cox 15 0 15
Fw Philipp Hoffmann 14 0 14 Fw Manuel Jiménez 15 2 17
Fw Facundo Bruno 12 1 13 Fw Marcelo Villalba 14 2 16
Fw Jamie Carroll 11 1 12 Fw Matthew Brown 12 1 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 14 31 45 57 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 42 57 46
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 2 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 7 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
21 17 36 48 60 T O T A L S 20 0 49 57 46
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.37 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.49 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.31 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.44 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.8 (no red card)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.91 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.25 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.24 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.2 (no second yellow)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.34 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.82 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.26 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.06 (no red card)
******* KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.03 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.28 (no red card)
Df Stephen Ard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.54 (no red card)
Df Martin Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.88 (no red card)
Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.36 (no red card)
Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.51 (no red card)
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.3 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.99 (no red card)
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.25 (no red card)
Fw Manuel Jiménez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.63 (no red card)
Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.88 (no red card)
Fw Matthew Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.35 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.79 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.31 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.04 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Thomás Lebre is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Thomás Lebre new match skill level = 7
Thomás Lebre new match total level = 9
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.76 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.96 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.0 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.67 (no injury)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.65 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.48 (no injury)
******* KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.38 (no injury)
Df Stephen Ard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.34 (no injury)
Df Martin Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no injury)
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.08 (no injury)
Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.63 (no injury)
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.71 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.24 (no injury)
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.36 (no injury)
Fw Manuel Jiménez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.11 (no injury)
Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.04 (no injury)
Fw Matthew Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.87 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 17
- Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15
intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Stephen Ard SL 15
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 16
intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 21 17 29 48 60
Kingstonian FC 20 0 49 57 46
Kingstonian FC is using Offside Trap!
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (60 - 49) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((48 - 57) / 2; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 46) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 6.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 97.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 11.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Kingstonian FC 20 0 49 57 46
Luton Town FC 21 17 29 48 60
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 17 (46 - 29); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((57 - 48) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 60) / 5; rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Ryan Welbeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Arturo Molina
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Arturo Molina
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Arturo Molina
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 52.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 44.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 62.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 42.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 69.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Manuel Jiménez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 69.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 1 - KINGSTONIAN FC 0
Match Notes
The K's have been in this final before and lost to none other than C-Ball and the Mad Hatters way back in Season 32. Can LT repeat that result or it is time for Kingstonian to lift this trophy?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/06 - 11:23 PM
Al just stirring up trouble.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/07 - 7:33 AM
Bets of luck, Jason, looks like this could be a very good one!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/07 - 3:01 PM
Here at LUT, we are definitely hoping for a repeat of the Season 32 result...but it is so hard to beat good managers more than once in a top game. We shall see.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/07 - 3:03 PM
I sure hope this goes differently than the last time.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/07 - 5:59 PM
And I hope that Al has given Mike the kiss of death.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/07 - 5:59 PM
Boy, we lucked out here, sorry about that, Jason.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/07 - 7:15 PM
Terrific job on the tactics, you surely had us beat minus our good fortune.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/07 - 7:16 PM
Ain't that a kick in the head.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/07 - 7:54 PM
Unlucky Jason, you deserved better.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/08 - 6:52 PM
Juiced Sw and Gk for Luton were up to the challenge. Congrats, C-Ball (and commiserations, Jason)!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/09 - 8:10 PM
Tough tough break for Jason.
Rob (Boston United) 03/14 - 4:00 PM
Well done Mike though!
Rob (Boston United) 03/14 - 4:00 PM