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Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHASETOWN FC                               LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Kaiser          13    0   13     Gk Dylan Foster           11    0   11
Sw Diego Lombardo          6    2    8     Sw Jason Meyer            14    0   14
Df Jake Whyte             12    2   14     Df Robin Ostrander        16    0   16
Df Tivadar Lengyel         8    0    8     Df Sebastian Shrimpton    11    0   11
Fw Leor Chadad            11    0   11     Df Fabian Schulz           9    2   11
Fw Finley Harris          10    1   11     Mf Cameron Hill            8    1    9
Mf Diego Ribeiro          12    0   12     Mf Jung Hee  Kwon          7    2    9
Mf Alf Jenssen             6    2    8     Mf Knut Strøm              7    2    9
Fw Scott Shaw             16    0   16     Mf Nils Schneider         11    0   11
Fw Gerry Ruddle           12    2   14     Fw William Johnson        13    0   13
Fw Albert Ramos            6    2    8     Fw Kerecsen Deák          11    1   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  8 22 20 60        ROSTER TOTALS      11 14 38 38 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  2  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  8 23 22 66         T O T A L S       11 14 38 38 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.7 (no red card)

Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.18 (no red card)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.32 (no red card)

Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.35 (no red card)

Fw Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.91 (no red card)

Fw Finley Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.05 (no red card)

Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.3 (no red card)

Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.38 (no red card)

Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.3 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.71 (no red card)

Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.08 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.36 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.4 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.14 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.42 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.25 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.76 (no red card)

Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.13 (no red card)

Mf Knut Strøm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.9 (no red card)

Mf Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.83 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.06 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.08 (no injury) 
Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.13 (no injury) 
Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.54 (no injury) 
Fw Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.43 (no injury) 
Fw Finley Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.62 (no injury) 
Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.96 (no injury) 
Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.49 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.44 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.63 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.74 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.54 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.84 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.85 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.15 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.36 (no injury) 
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.44 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Jung Hee  Kwon is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jung Hee  Kwon new match skill level =  4
      Jung Hee  Kwon new match total level =  6
Mf Knut Strøm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.13 (no injury) 
Mf Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.78 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.44 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Scott Shaw SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 11

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 13

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 87 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             13   8  23  22  66
  Luton Town FC            11  14  38  35  25

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 28 (66 - 38); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Fw Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 37.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 53.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 19.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 34.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 24.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 26.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 81.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 92.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            11  14  38  35  25
  Chasetown FC             13   8  23  22  66

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 2 (25 - 23); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((35 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 40.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jung Hee  Kwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Knut Strøm
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Knut Strøm
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Jung Hee  Kwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Knut Strøm
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHASETOWN FC 2  -  LUTON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Haven't managed to beat Luton for several seasons...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 01/14 - 10:27 AM
Nice comeback after going behind early
Paul (Chasetown FC) 01/19 - 5:00 PM
Almost pulled this one out on the road, nice match, Paul.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/20 - 12:29 PM
 
 
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