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Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC                         HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo Dury               14    2   16     Gk Florian De Vos         15    2   17
Sw Nathan Khan            13    1   14     Df Benjamin Newton        10    0   10
Df Johan  Kristensen      10    2   12     Df Gabriel Williams        6    2    8
Df Cliff Davies           10    2   12     Df Vegar Aas               3    2    5
Mf Joseph Terry           10    2   12     Mf Michael Möller         10    2   12
Mf Theo Ruby               9    2   11     Mf Juan Jose Carmona      10    1   11
Fw Freddie Rees           13    2   15     Mf Benjamin Healy          6    2    8
Fw Tobias Walter          13    2   15     Mf Lewis Smith             6    1    7
Fw Ruben Diez             16    0   16     Mf Gregor Millar           3    2    5
Fw Ollie O'Brien          10    2   12     Fw Hans Fischer            7    0    7
Fw Archie Hill             6    2    8     Fw Ian Hunter              6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 24 23 66        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 23 43 15    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  7  0  0    
       0  0  1  2  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 14 25 25 72         T O T A L S       20  0 30 43 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 77.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 48.91 (no red card)

Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.51 (no red card)

Df Johan  Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.23 (no red card)

Df Cliff Davies: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.61 (no red card)

Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.31 (no red card)

Mf Theo Ruby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.98 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.58 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.44 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.88 (no red card)

Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.57 (no red card)

Fw Archie Hill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.96 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 39.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 17.61 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 4.46 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 86.11 (no second yellow)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 65.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 37.19 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 58.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 85.15 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 0.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 45.11 (no second yellow)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 15.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 45.68 (no second yellow)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 52.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 94.78 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 54.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 76.24 (no red card)

Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 33.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 29.39 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 64.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 70.28 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 0.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 26.94 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 31.74 (no injury) 
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 28.57 (no injury) 
Df Johan  Kristensen: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 52.82 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Davies: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 86.65 (no injury) 
Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 79.21 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Ruby: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 84.79 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 79.35 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 63.96 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 23.75 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 10.27 (no injury) 
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 12.27 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 67.09 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 59.41 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 48.69 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 25.24 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 37.2 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 90.55 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 56.11 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 0.01 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Lewis Smith is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lewis Smith new match skill level =  3
      Lewis Smith new match total level =  4
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 66.3 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 39.0 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 97.85 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Diez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Benjamin Newton SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 26 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       17  14  25  25  72
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20   0  30  40  15

Harrogate Railway AFC is using Offside Trap!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 21 (72 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 4 ((25 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Cliff Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 20.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Cliff Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Johan  Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 97.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Cliff Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 19.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 83.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 22.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 86.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 43.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 11.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 8.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 62.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20   0  30  40  15
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       17  14  25  25  72

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 25)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((40 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 72) / 5;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 12.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Michael Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Michael Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 3  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
 
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