Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:03:09 PM (gmt)
 
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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jake Flynn             14    2   16     Gk Dominic Lloyd          15    2   17
Sw Ian Moore              12    2   14     Sw Robin Spoor            14    1   15
Df Youssef Alami          12    0   12     Df Gonzalo Sanz           14    1   15
Df Lok Guo                11    2   13     Df Theo Rowe              10    1   11
Df Max Hermansson          6    2    8     Mf Arsenio  Pérez         10    2   12
Mf Harvey Allen           17    0   17     Mf Roger Flinders          7    2    9
Mf Kyle Moore             10    2   12     Fw Cong Li                16    2   18
Mf Christian Kilkenny      6    2    8     Fw Riley Newton           10    2   12
Fw Gonzalo Soler          12    1   13     Fw Giles Lindsay          10    2   12
Fw Carlton Lloyd           9    2   11     Fw Marcelo Guzman          6    2    8
Fw Gerry Walker            3    2    5     Fw Algernon James          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 33 37 29        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 26 21 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 33 37 38         T O T A L S       17 15 26 21 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.92 (no red card)

Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.11 (no red card)

Df Youssef Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.08 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.31 (no second yellow)

Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.51 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.83 (no red card)

Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.32 (no red card)

Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.65 (no red card)

Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.77 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.75 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.25 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.17 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.05 (no red card)

Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.98 (no second yellow)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.96 (no red card)

Df Theo Rowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.2 (no red card)

Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.36 (no red card)

Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.76 (no red card)

Fw Cong Li: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.63 (no red card)

Fw Riley Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.64 (no red card)

Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.48 (no second yellow)

Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.4 (no red card)

Fw Algernon James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.95 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.64 (no injury) 
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.47 (no injury) 
Df Youssef Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no injury) 
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.41 (no injury) 
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.62 (no injury) 
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.23 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.82 (no injury) 
Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.71 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.52 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.44 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.09 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.29 (no injury) 
Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.23 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.02 (no injury) 
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.94 (no injury) 
Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.26 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.44 (no injury) 
Fw Cong Li: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.65 (no injury) 
Fw Riley Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.3 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.34 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.75 (no injury) 
Fw Algernon James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Dominic Lloyd SL 15

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cong Li SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 14

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          16  14  33  37  38
  Kendal Town FC           17  15  26  21  58

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (38 - 26); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((37 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Kyle Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Kyle Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Christian Kilkenny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 97.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           17  15  26  21  58
  Bedford Town FC          16  14  33  37  38

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 25 (58 - 33); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 29.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 51.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 1  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Forgotten we were even in div 1
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/07 - 7:29 PM
The mighty Ian from Kendall, lovely rock Ian shame about the defence 😉
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/07 - 7:30 PM
 
 
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