Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:37:01 PM (gmt)
 
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Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC                         AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo Dury               10    0   10     Gk Matty Moore            16    2   18
Sw Nathan Khan            12    1   13     Sw Aarron Lowe            15    2   17
Df Ethan Maire             3    2    5     Df Alejandro García       13    1   14
Df Sean Taylor            10    2   12     Df Ryan Barber             6    2    8
Df Albert Goodwin          6    2    8     Mf Isao Mori              15    2   17
Df Zak Strachan            3    2    5     Mf Nigel Howells           6    2    8
Mf Joseph Terry            9    1   10     Fw Sheng Hé               13    2   15
Mf Patrick Torres          6    2    8     Fw Marty Allen            13    2   15
Mf Louis Ferdinand         3    2    5     Fw Carrington Bates       10    2   12
Fw Andrew Palmer           8    2   10     Fw Isaac Howells          10    2   12
Fw Young Soo Shin          3    2    5     Fw Ben Butcher             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 13 30 23 15        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 22 25 62    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  4  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 16 39 27 15         T O T A L S       19 17 22 25 62    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.48 (no red card)

Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.4 (no red card)

Df Ethan Maire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.02 (no red card)

Df Sean Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.47 (no red card)

Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.8 (no red card)

Df Zak Strachan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.75 (no red card)

Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.09 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.51 (no red card)

Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.34 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.75 (no red card)

Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.95 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 96.41 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.8 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.4 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.32 (no red card)

Mf Isao Mori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.2 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.74 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.41 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.02 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.46 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.94 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 62.74 (no injury) 
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.34 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Maire: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.98 (no injury) 
Df Sean Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.11 (no injury) 
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.92 (no injury) 
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.4 (no injury) 
Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.06 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.5 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.48 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.88 (no injury) 
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.15 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 89.39 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.4 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.73 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.42 (no injury) 
Mf Isao Mori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.76 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.02 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.81 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.64 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.16 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.7 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sean Taylor SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Isao Mori SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 10

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       10  16  39  27  15
  AFC Wimbledon            19  17  22  25  62

Shepshed Dynamo FC is Playing For A Draw!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 22)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Joseph Terry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            19  17  22  25  62
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       10  16  39  27  15

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 23 (62 - 39); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 3 ((22 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Df Ryan Barber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Ryan Barber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 20.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Alejandro García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 57.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 82.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 1
 
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