Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:00:17 PM (gmt)
 
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Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CLEVEDON TOWN FC                           CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk William Williams       12    1   13     Gk Niklas Kaiser          13    0   13
Sw Christian Murray       14    0   14     Sw David Gardner           9    0    9
Df Lukas Mas              14    0   14     Df Jake Whyte             13    0   13
Df Michael Thompson       11    1   12     Df Carlos Rodriguez       16    0   16
Df Kai Hawkins             6    2    8     Df Arthur East             6    2    8
Df Finn Kelly              6    2    8     Df Lewis Allan             3    2    5
Mf James Thompson         10    1   11     Mf Alf Jenssen            11    2   13
Mf Oliver Chaffersey      10    1   11     Mf Leor Chadad            11    0   11
Fw Tony Banks             15    0   15     Mf Diego Ribeiro           8    0    8
Fw Juan Martin            16    0   16     Fw Albert Ramos           12    2   14
Fw Max Black               6    2    8     Mf Charlie Sullivan       10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 14 42 22 39        ROSTER TOTALS      13  9 42 42 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 42 22 48         T O T A L S       13 12 42 42 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk William Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.91 (no red card)

Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.65 (no red card)

Df Lukas Mas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.32 (no red card)

Df Michael Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.43 (no red card)

Df Kai Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.42 (no red card)

Df Finn Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.83 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.43 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.51 (no red card)

Fw Tony Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.58 (no red card)

Fw Juan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.27 (no red card)

Fw Max Black: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.83 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.56 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.83 (no red card)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.94 (no red card)

Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.88 (no red card)

Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.92 (no red card)

Df Lewis Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.68 (no red card)

Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.69 (no red card)

Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.58 (no red card)

Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.97 (no red card)

Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.27 (no red card)

Mf Charlie Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk William Williams: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.32 (no injury) 
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.26 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Mas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.15 (no injury) 
Df Michael Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.86 (no injury) 
Df Kai Hawkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.73 (no injury) 
Df Finn Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.1 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.89 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.48 (no injury) 
Fw Tony Banks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.72 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.37 (no injury) 
Fw Max Black: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.74 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.17 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.12 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.47 (no injury) 
Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.21 (no injury) 
Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.6 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.3 (no injury) 
Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.7 (no injury) 
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.1 (no injury) 
Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.14 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.35 (no injury) 
Mf Charlie Sullivan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.79 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Juan Martin SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 13

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlos Rodriguez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: William Williams SL 12

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         13  14  42  22  48
  Chasetown FC             13  12  42  42  14

Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (48 - 42); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 10 ((42 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Lukas Mas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kai Hawkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Michael Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Michael Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Michael Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Michael Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Finn Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Michael Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Michael Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Lukas Mas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Tony Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Tony Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 34.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Tony Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Max Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             13  12  42  42  14
  Clevedon Town FC         13  14  42  22  48

Chasetown FC is Playing For A Draw!
Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 42)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((42 - 22) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Charlie Sullivan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CLEVEDON TOWN FC 0  -  CHASETOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Not expecting any points from this one...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 06/06 - 10:34 AM
Got the tactics right and the luck was definitely with us
Paul (Chasetown FC) 06/07 - 7:18 PM
 
 
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