Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:44:24 PM (gmt)
 
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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              WORKSOP TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes          12    2   14     Gk Frank Kennedy           6    0    6
Sw Jamie Johnson          15    1   16     Sw Léo Laurent             2    2    4
Df Robin Ostrander        13    1   14     Df Don Edwards             8    0    8
Df Sebastian Shrimpton    11    1   12     Df Gordon Jackson          6    2    8
Df Reis  Golan             6    2    8     Df Liam Åkesson            6    0    6
Mf Jonathan Heddle        12    0   12     Mf Kieran Lawrence         9    0    9
Mf Nathan Dean             6    2    8     Mf Callum McGuire          8    0    8
Mf David Perry             6    2    8     Mf Miguel González         6    2    8
Fw Facundo Bruno          15    0   15     Mf Patrick Morris          2    2    4
Fw William Johnson        12    1   13     Fw Laurence Newman         8    0    8
Fw Philipp Hoffmann        6    2    8     Fw Leon Bailey             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 16 34 28 36        ROSTER TOTALS       6  4 22 29 15    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 16 34 33 40         T O T A L S        6  4 22 29 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.13 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.52 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.19 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.91 (no second yellow)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.27 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.29 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.84 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.85 (no second yellow)

Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.5 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.92 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.69 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.24 (no red card)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.64 (no red card)

Sw Léo Laurent: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.47 (no red card)

Df Don Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.03 (no red card)

Df Gordon Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.87 (no red card)

Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.88 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.15 (no red card)

Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.45 (no red card)

Mf Miguel González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.81 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Morris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.55 (no red card)

Fw Laurence Newman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.7 (no red card)

Fw Leon Bailey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 2.76 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.3 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.46 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.39 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.84 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.37 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.23 (no injury) 
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.44 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Facundo Bruno is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.36 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.42 (no injury) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.81 (no injury) 
Sw Léo Laurent: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.26 (no injury) 
Df Don Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.46 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.8 (no injury) 
Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.33 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.63 (no injury) 
Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.09 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel González: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.6 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Miguel González loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Miguel González new match skill level =  3
      Miguel González new match total level =  5
Mf Patrick Morris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.65 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Newman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Bailey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Frank Kennedy SL 6

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kieran Lawrence SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 12

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            14  16  34  33  40
  Worksop Town FC          6   4  22  26  15

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 18 (40 - 22); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((33 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 7 ((34 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 26.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Reis  Golan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 91.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 77.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 49.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 65.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 82.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf David Perry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf David Perry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 62.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 22.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 99.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 30.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 10.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 74.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 66.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 69 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 0.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 67 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Worksop Town FC          6   4  22  26  15
  Luton Town FC            14  16  34  33  40

Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 34)
Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 8  -  WORKSOP TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Punished !!!
David (Worksop Town FC) 06/08 - 1:41 PM
 
 
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