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Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
 
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         AFC FYLDE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney             9    0    9     Gk James MacLeod          12    2   14
Sw Reece Hamilton          6    2    8     Sw Rhys Porter            15    0   15
Df Nathan Doyle           11   -1   10     Df Ryan Lasserre          14    0   14
Df Jan Beerman             9   -1    8     Df Rayan Blanc            12    0   12
Df Luke Sinclair           6    2    8     Df Jeff Hughes            10    0   10
Mf Marty Nicholls          9   -2    7     Df Diego Rocha             7    2    9
Mf Ian Hanny               6    2    8     Mf James Gallaher         13    0   13
Mf Evan Jones              6    2    8     Mf Edward Newman          12    0   12
Fw Francesco Rinaldi      13    0   13     Mf Wes Lambert            10    1   11
Fw Vladimir Popov          6    2    8     Fw Ellis Boddington       13    0   13
Fw Calum Kelly             5    2    7     Fw Tom Duckworth          16    0   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  8 26 23 28        ROSTER TOTALS      14 15 45 36 29    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  1  1  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  8 26 23 37         T O T A L S       15 16 46 36 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.68 (no red card)

Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.35 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.0 (no red card)

Df Jan Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.17 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.42 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.92 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.22 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.73 (no second yellow)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.09 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.19 (no red card)

Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.12 (no red card)

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 91.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 24.53 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 46.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 73.91 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 12.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 92.56 (no red card)

Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 3.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 38.25 (no second yellow)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 32.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.72 (no red card)

Df Diego Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 90.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 65.58 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 10.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 33.56 (no red card)

Mf Edward Newman: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 82.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 50.08 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 70.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 56.11 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 54.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 60.63 (no red card)

Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 10.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 31.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.04 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 99.44 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 41.3 (no injury) 
Df Jan Beerman: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 65.06 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 44.8 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 60.97 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 88.2 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 67.33 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 12.41 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 63.92 (no injury) 
Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 89.14 (no injury) 

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 4
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 17.65 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.48 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.93 (no injury) 
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 34.25 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.66 (no injury) 
Df Diego Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.98 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.6 (no injury) 
Mf Edward Newman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.71 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.87 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.72 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 70.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Francesco Rinaldi SL 13
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 83 (pk blocked)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Duckworth SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 9

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       9   8  26  23  37
  AFC Fylde                15  16  46  36  30

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 46)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                15  16  46  36  30
  Chippenham Town FC       9   8  26  23  37

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 4 (30 - 26); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 7 ((36 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 3 ((46 - 37) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 44.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 2.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 32.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 48.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 34.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 15.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 55.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  AFC FYLDE 0
 
Match Notes
Another loss away, All the best Phil
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 01/17 - 8:14 AM
Oh wow
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 01/18 - 10:16 PM
 
 
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