Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 08:04:43 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats TablesTeams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MARINE FC                                  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk George Lindsay          3    2    5     Gk Denis Martin           15    2   17
Sw Alfredo  Herrera        3    2    5     Sw Sylar Mack              7    2    9
Df Ryan Richardson         7    0    7     Df Diego Acosta           10    1   11
Df Niall Dunn              6   -2    4     Df Louie Hill              7    1    8
Df Afonso Gomes            4    2    6     Df Steven Williams         3    2    5
Mf Adi Peretz              8    0    8     Mf Owen MacLean            6    2    8
Mf Andrea Marino          10   -2    8     Mf Kian Sansom             6    2    8
Mf Rory MacDonald          4    2    6     Mf Haakon Ødegård          3    2    5
Fw Cliff Ruddle            8    0    8     Fw Baron Marshall         13    1   14
Fw Reuben Dowson           6    0    6     Fw Lawrence Clark         10    0   10
Fw Alexander Murphy        4    2    6     Fw Harley Dowson           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       5  5 17 22 20        ROSTER TOTALS      17  9 24 21 32    
       0  0  2  0  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       5  5 22 25 25         T O T A L S       17  9 24 21 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.78 (no red card)

Sw Alfredo  Herrera: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 60.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 79.56 (no red card)

Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 61.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 79.34 (no red card)

Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 0.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 58.42 (no second yellow)

Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 88.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 7.82 (no red card)

Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 20.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 97.18 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 37.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 33.31 (no red card)

Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 53.26 (no red card)

Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 80.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 10.55 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 18.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 32.6 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 17.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 53.64 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.23 (no red card)

Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.24 (no red card)

Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.34 (no red card)

Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.73 (no red card)

Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.73 (no red card)

Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.77 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.44 (no red card)

Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.86 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.2 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 4
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 74.19 (no injury) 
Sw Alfredo  Herrera: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.94 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.25 (no injury) 
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.29 (no injury) 
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.35 (no injury) 
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.59 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.74 (no injury) 
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.7 (no injury) 
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.8 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 47.53 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.2 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.03 (no injury) 
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 66.7 (no injury) 
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 81.83 (no injury) 
Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 28.64 (no injury) 
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 58.17 (no injury) 
Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 64.77 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 83.65 (no injury) 
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 94.21 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 28.1 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 86.18 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 50.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Andrea Marino SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 15

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Baron Marshall SL 13
   - Defending Gk: George Lindsay SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                5   5  22  25  25
  FC United of Manchester  17   9  24  21  32

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 1 (25 - 24); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((25 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Rory MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Rory MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  17   9  24  21  32
  Marine FC                5   5  22  25  25

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 10 (32 - 22); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 15.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 21.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 60.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 38.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 81.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 86.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 38.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MARINE FC 0  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 3
 
Match Notes
A feel good match, for sure! Somebody will walk away with more points that either of us last weekend
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/02 - 6:05 PM
Another mostly-youth team faced! It was our lucky weekend!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/09 - 4:20 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions