(H)

Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton

Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BEDFORD TOWN FC TONBRIDGE ANGELS Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jake Flynn 14 2 16 Gk Jermaine Parry 10 2 12 Sw Julian Moreno 3 2 5 Sw Sean Carroll 7 2 9 Df Lok Guo 12 2 14 Df Luke Crowley 13 2 15 Df Max Hermansson 6 2 8 Df Sean Callahan 13 2 15 Mf Harvey Allen 17 1 18 Df Ciaran Healy 7 2 9 Mf Christian Kilkenny 6 2 8 Df Steve Gordon 3 2 5 Fw Gonzalo Soler 12 2 14 Mf Kunio Yamamoto 13 2 15 Fw Corey Page 12 1 13 Mf Joe Barrett 16 2 18 Fw Alexander Stewart 10 2 12 Fw Matais Juarez 15 2 17 Fw Zak Bell 6 2 8 Fw Michael Turner 11 2 13 Fw Gerry Walker 3 2 5 Fw Jens Kristensen 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 5 22 26 52 ROSTER TOTALS 12 9 44 33 39 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 5 22 26 61 T O T A L S 13 12 51 33 39 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.12 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.54 (no red card) Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.48 (no red card) Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.31 (no red card) Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.39 (no red card) Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.61 (no red card) Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.08 (no red card) Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.17 (no red card) Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.82 (no red card) Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.96 (no red card) Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.82 (no red card) Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.93 (no red card) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 4 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Jermaine Parry: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 33.17 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 18.47 (no red card) Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 39.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 62.65 (no red card) Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 56.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 56.26 (no red card) Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 44.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 85.0 (no red card) Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 63.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 74.53 (no red card) Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 96.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 48.44 (no red card) Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 8.25 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 10.18 (no second yellow) Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 14.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 92.36 (no red card) Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 93.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card) Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 35.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.55 (no red card) Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 78.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 8.28 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5% - Gk chance of injury = 2.75% Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.19 (no injury) Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 23.43 (no injury) Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.39 (no injury) Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 19.24 (no injury) Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 22.11 (no injury) Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 84.81 (no injury) Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.7 (no injury) Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 33.85 (no injury) Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 10.93 (no injury) Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 95.93 (no injury) Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 39.81 (no injury) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4 - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Jermaine Parry: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 83.81 (no injury) Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.92 (no injury) Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.52 (no injury) Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.64 (no injury) Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.82 (no injury) Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.07 (no injury) Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no injury) Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.51 (no injury) Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.78 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Matais Juarez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.74 (no injury) Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.66 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 17 - Defending Gk: Jermaine Parry SL 10 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick) ******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 16 - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 14 intRndPk = 88 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bedford Town FC 16 5 22 26 61 Tonbridge Angels 13 12 51 33 39 Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 10 (61 - 51); result rounded up Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 33) / 2; rounded up) Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 39) / 3; rounded up) Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Fw Corey Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Corey Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Corey Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 59.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Corey Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Tonbridge Angels 13 12 51 33 39 Bedford Town FC 16 5 22 26 61 Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw! Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 9 (39 - 22) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 26) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 61) / 3; rounded up) Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Michael Turner Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 10.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 9.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Michael Turner Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 22.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Michael Turner Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BEDFORD TOWN FC 0 - TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
Match Notes

We will be lucky to pick up a point even with Bedford currently struggling.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/08 - 5:51 PM