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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Chasetown FC
Roger Mendonça
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Erik Holm              14    2   16     Gk Daniel Bell            16    2   18
Df Freddy Arboleda        13    2   15     Sw Luca Parisi             7    0    7
Sw Gabriel Williams       10    1   11     Df Arthur East            13    2   15
Df Fernando Silva         16    2   18     Df Lewis Allan            11    2   13
Df Nathan Meldrum          7    2    9     Df Tim Huber               7    2    9
Df Kund Gáspár             3    2    5     Df Max Flinders            3    2    5
Mf Benjamin Healy         10    2   12     Mf Nathan Barnes          12    2   14
Mf Ross Browne             7    2    9     Mf Luciano Renteria       11    2   13
Fw Justin Neumann         13    2   15     Mf Ashley Rooney           7    2    9
Fw Ian Hunter             12    2   14     Fw Arthur Lampton         13    2   15
Fw Lee Collins             7    2    9     Fw Gerry Ruddle           13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 11 47 21 38        ROSTER TOTALS      18  7 42 36 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 11 47 21 47         T O T A L S       18  7 49 36 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.95 (no red card)

Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.83 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.13 (no red card)

Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.71 (no red card)

Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.62 (no red card)

Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.77 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.53 (no red card)

Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.44 (no red card)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.07 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.56 (no red card)

Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.37 (no second yellow)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.76 (no red card)

Sw Luca Parisi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.18 (no red card)

Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.01 (no red card)

Df Lewis Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.98 (no red card)

Df Tim Huber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.76 (no red card)

Df Max Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.07 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.55 (no red card)

Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.06 (no red card)

Mf Ashley Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.45 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.12 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.75 (no injury) 
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.24 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.01 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.94 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.72 (no injury) 
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.53 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.06 (no injury) 
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.63 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.94 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.79 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.9 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 2.75 (no injury) 
Sw Luca Parisi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.57 (no injury) 
Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.06 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no injury) 
Df Tim Huber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.06 (no injury) 
Df Max Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.44 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.9 (no injury) 
Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.36 (no injury) 
Mf Ashley Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ashley Rooney is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.19 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Daniel Bell SL 16

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Arthur East SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16  11  47  21  47
  Chasetown FC             18   7  49  36  30

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 49)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((47 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Fernando Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Kund Gáspár
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Nathan Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Kund Gáspár
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Nathan Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             18   7  49  36  30
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16  11  47  21  47

Chasetown FC is Playing For A Draw!
Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 47)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((36 - 21) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 1 ((49 - 47) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Tim Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ashley Rooney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0  -  CHASETOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
The Commish versus the galaxy's second favourite manager. One wins nothing in the league, the other controls everything except results. Somehow this still happens every season.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/23 - 7:30 PM  
Uh oh...will be a long day for us hosting at Station View versus the Scholars!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/23 - 8:37 PM  
No real chance here, would love to scrape a draw
Roger (Chasetown FC) 05/24 - 12:36 PM  
Obi-Wan travelled all the way from Northampton to produce nothing. The Commish produced nothing back. Together they produced a perfect, collaborative nothing. Somewhere I felt briefly understood.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/30 - 7:30 PM  
Fortunate to get a point against the league leaders. Well done Roger!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/30 - 7:45 PM  
Bus well and truly parked. Best of luck for the rest of the season Al
Roger (Chasetown FC) 05/30 - 7:58 PM  
 
 
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